Brightspring Health Services Stock Price Patterns
| BTSG Stock | 39.05 1.44 3.56% |
Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.383 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3114 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.0329 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.3348 | Wall Street Target Price 44.1333 |
Using BrightSpring Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BrightSpring Health Services from the perspective of BrightSpring Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards BrightSpring Health using BrightSpring Health's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards BrightSpring using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of BrightSpring Health's stock price.
BrightSpring Health Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in BrightSpring Health's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards BrightSpring. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of BrightSpring Health stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 27.6867 | Short Percent 0.1332 | Short Ratio 4.31 | Shares Short Prior Month 9.3 M | 50 Day MA 37.2122 |
BrightSpring Health Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to BrightSpring Health's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in BrightSpring. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding BrightSpring can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around BrightSpring Health Services. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of BrightSpring Health's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about BrightSpring Health.
BrightSpring Health Implied Volatility | 0.92 |
BrightSpring Health's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of BrightSpring Health Services stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if BrightSpring Health's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that BrightSpring Health stock will not fluctuate a lot when BrightSpring Health's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in BrightSpring Health to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying BrightSpring because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
BrightSpring Health after-hype prediction price | USD 40.58 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current BrightSpring contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that BrightSpring Health Services will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0575% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With BrightSpring Health trading at USD 39.05, that is roughly USD 0.0225 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating BrightSpring Health's daily price movement you should consider acquiring BrightSpring Health Services options at the current volatility level of 0.92%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
BrightSpring | Build AI portfolio with BrightSpring Stock |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BrightSpring Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
BrightSpring Health After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of BrightSpring Health at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BrightSpring Health or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BrightSpring Health, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
BrightSpring Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting BrightSpring Health's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BrightSpring Health's historical news coverage. BrightSpring Health's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 38.54 and 42.62, respectively. We have considered BrightSpring Health's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
BrightSpring Health is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BrightSpring Health is based on 3 months time horizon.
BrightSpring Health Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BrightSpring Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BrightSpring Health backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BrightSpring Health, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.36 | 2.04 | 0.27 | 0.14 | 13 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 13 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
39.05 | 40.58 | 0.67 |
|
BrightSpring Health Hype Timeline
BrightSpring Health is currently traded for 39.05. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.27, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.14. BrightSpring is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 40.58 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.67%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.36%. The volatility of related hype on BrightSpring Health is about 510.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 38.91. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 11.27 B. Net Loss for the year was (20.52 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.77 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 13 days. Check out BrightSpring Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.BrightSpring Health Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to BrightSpring Health's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BrightSpring Health's future price movements. Getting to know how BrightSpring Health's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BrightSpring Health may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BRKR | Bruker | (2.02) | 10 per month | 2.17 | 0.07 | 4.93 | (3.76) | 12.82 | |
| CHE | Chemed Corp | (3.86) | 10 per month | 1.51 | (0.03) | 2.25 | (2.34) | 11.15 | |
| IRTC | iRhythm Technologies | (9.82) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 4.78 | (5.19) | 13.25 | |
| KRYS | Krystal Biotech | 6.90 | 7 per month | 1.09 | 0.27 | 4.46 | (2.43) | 10.86 | |
| HQY | HealthEquity | 1.98 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.57 | (3.01) | 16.72 | |
| TFX | Teleflex Incorporated | (4.66) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.48 | (3.77) | 22.60 | |
| RDNT | RadNet Inc | (0.36) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.30 | (3.36) | 10.72 | |
| STVN | Stevanato Group SpA | 0.02 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 4.36 | (4.32) | 15.63 | |
| MMSI | Merit Medical Systems | 1.54 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 2.73 | (2.61) | 12.72 | |
| CRSP | Crispr Therapeutics AG | 6.28 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 5.31 | (5.47) | 19.81 |
BrightSpring Health Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BrightSpring price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BrightSpring using various technical indicators. When you analyze BrightSpring charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About BrightSpring Health Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of BrightSpring Health stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as BrightSpring Health Services, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BrightSpring Health based on analysis of BrightSpring Health hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to BrightSpring Health's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to BrightSpring Health's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 41.8 | 37.23 | 42.81 | PTB Ratio | 3.22 | 1.99 | 2.29 |
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Complementary Tools for BrightSpring Stock analysis
When running BrightSpring Health's price analysis, check to measure BrightSpring Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BrightSpring Health is operating at the current time. Most of BrightSpring Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BrightSpring Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BrightSpring Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BrightSpring Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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