Cheniere Energy Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average

CHQ1 Stock  EUR 192.15  0.55  0.29%   
Cheniere Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Cheniere Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 22nd of February 2026, The value of relative strength index of Cheniere Energy's share price is at 55 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Cheniere Energy, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 55

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Cheniere Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Cheniere Energy and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Cheniere Energy's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Cheniere Energy, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Cheniere Energy's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.209
Wall Street Target Price
103.91
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.191
Using Cheniere Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cheniere Energy from the perspective of Cheniere Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Cheniere Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 192.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 136.85.

Cheniere Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 192.31  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cheniere Energy to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Cheniere Stock please use our How to Invest in Cheniere Energy guide.

Cheniere Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Cheniere price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cheniere using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cheniere charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Cheniere Energy is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Cheniere Energy Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Cheniere Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 192.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.32, mean absolute percentage error of 8.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 136.85.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cheniere Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cheniere Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cheniere Energy Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Cheniere Energy  Cheniere Energy Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Cheniere Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cheniere Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cheniere Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 190.62 and 193.68, respectively. We have considered Cheniere Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
192.15
190.62
Downside
192.15
Expected Value
193.68
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cheniere Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cheniere Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.5519
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.4169
MADMean absolute deviation2.3195
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0134
SAESum of the absolute errors136.85
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Cheniere Energy price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Cheniere Energy. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Cheniere Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cheniere Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
190.77192.31193.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
172.94216.88218.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
99.12185.39271.65
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.531.241.86
Details

Cheniere Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Cheniere Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cheniere Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cheniere Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Cheniere Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Cheniere Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cheniere Energy's historical news coverage. Cheniere Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 190.77 and 193.85, respectively. We have considered Cheniere Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
192.15
190.77
Downside
192.31
After-hype Price
193.85
Upside
Cheniere Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cheniere Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.

Cheniere Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cheniere Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cheniere Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cheniere Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.16 
1.53
  0.16 
  0.07 
6 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
192.15
192.31
0.08 
154.55  
Notes

Cheniere Energy Hype Timeline

Cheniere Energy is currently traded for 192.15on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.16, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. Cheniere is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 192.31 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 154.55%. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Cheniere Energy is about 372.66%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 192.08. The company reported the revenue of 15.7 B. Net Income was 3.25 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.78 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cheniere Energy to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Cheniere Stock please use our How to Invest in Cheniere Energy guide.

Cheniere Energy Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Cheniere Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cheniere Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Cheniere Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cheniere Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TKDATakeda Pharmaceutical 0.00 8 per month 0.57  0.27  2.78 (1.44) 5.52 
GE9Genmab AS(3.40)9 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.73 (3.42) 9.60 
CLNThe City of 0.03 8 per month 1.16  0.07  2.97 (2.21) 6.15 
R7IRENEWABLES INFRASTRUCTURE 0.01 4 per month 0.00 (0.07) 3.80 (3.61) 11.13 
5QGNEW FOUND GOLD 0.05 6 per month 5.04  0.06  11.93 (8.63) 40.57 
2HZOdyssean Investment Trust 0.04 7 per month 1.05  0.08  2.21 (2.62) 5.63 
14Dtokentus investment AG(0.02)1 per month 0.00 (0.02) 6.02 (8.26) 56.92 
GE0GRAYCLIFF EXPLORATION LTD 0.01 3 per month 18.30  0.16  35.42 (23.45) 1,837 

Other Forecasting Options for Cheniere Energy

For every potential investor in Cheniere, whether a beginner or expert, Cheniere Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cheniere Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cheniere. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cheniere Energy's price trends.

Cheniere Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cheniere Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cheniere Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cheniere Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cheniere Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cheniere Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cheniere Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cheniere Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cheniere Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cheniere Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cheniere Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cheniere Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cheniere stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Cheniere Energy

The number of cover stories for Cheniere Energy depends on current market conditions and Cheniere Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cheniere Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cheniere Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
When determining whether Cheniere Energy is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cheniere Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cheniere Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cheniere Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cheniere Energy to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Cheniere Stock please use our How to Invest in Cheniere Energy guide.
You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
It's important to distinguish between Cheniere Energy's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Cheniere Energy should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Cheniere Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.