CH Robinson Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

CHRW Stock  USD 179.38  4.28  2.44%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of CH Robinson Worldwide on the next trading day is expected to be 176.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.70 and the sum of the absolute errors of 225.57. CHRW Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of CH Robinson's share price is above 70 at this time suggesting that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling CHRW, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 73

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of CH Robinson's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of CH Robinson and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from CH Robinson's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CH Robinson Worldwide, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using CH Robinson hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CH Robinson Worldwide from the perspective of CH Robinson response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of CH Robinson Worldwide on the next trading day is expected to be 176.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.70 and the sum of the absolute errors of 225.57.

CH Robinson after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 179.38  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CH Robinson to cross-verify your projections.

CH Robinson Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine CHRW price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CHRW using various technical indicators. When you analyze CHRW charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through CH Robinson price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

CH Robinson Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of CH Robinson Worldwide on the next trading day is expected to be 176.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.70, mean absolute percentage error of 26.41, and the sum of the absolute errors of 225.57.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CHRW Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CH Robinson's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CH Robinson Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest CH RobinsonCH Robinson Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

CH Robinson Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CH Robinson's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CH Robinson's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 173.22 and 178.86, respectively. We have considered CH Robinson's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
179.38
173.22
Downside
176.04
Expected Value
178.86
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CH Robinson stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CH Robinson stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.3844
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation3.6979
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0248
SAESum of the absolute errors225.5738
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as CH Robinson Worldwide historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for CH Robinson

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CH Robinson Worldwide. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
176.56179.38182.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
161.44195.79198.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
157.34168.45179.55
Details

CH Robinson After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of CH Robinson at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CH Robinson or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CH Robinson, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

CH Robinson Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting CH Robinson's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CH Robinson's historical news coverage. CH Robinson's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 176.56 and 182.20, respectively. We have considered CH Robinson's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
179.38
176.56
Downside
179.38
After-hype Price
182.20
Upside
CH Robinson is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CH Robinson Worldwide is based on 3 months time horizon.

CH Robinson Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CH Robinson is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CH Robinson backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CH Robinson, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.62 
2.82
 0.00  
  0.42 
0 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
179.38
179.38
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

CH Robinson Hype Timeline

CH Robinson Worldwide is currently traded for 179.38. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.42. CHRW is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.62%. %. The volatility of related hype on CH Robinson is about 417.78%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 179.80. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.44. CH Robinson Worldwide last dividend was issued on the 5th of December 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 17th of October 2005. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CH Robinson to cross-verify your projections.

CH Robinson Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to CH Robinson's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CH Robinson's future price movements. Getting to know how CH Robinson's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CH Robinson may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for CH Robinson

For every potential investor in CHRW, whether a beginner or expert, CH Robinson's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CHRW Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CHRW. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CH Robinson's price trends.

CH Robinson Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CH Robinson stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CH Robinson could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CH Robinson by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CH Robinson Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CH Robinson stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CH Robinson shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CH Robinson stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CH Robinson Worldwide entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CH Robinson Risk Indicators

The analysis of CH Robinson's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CH Robinson's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting chrw stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for CH Robinson

The number of cover stories for CH Robinson depends on current market conditions and CH Robinson's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CH Robinson is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CH Robinson's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

CH Robinson Short Properties

CH Robinson's future price predictability will typically decrease when CH Robinson's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CH Robinson Worldwide often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CH Robinson's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CH Robinson's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding120.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments145.8 M

Additional Tools for CHRW Stock Analysis

When running CH Robinson's price analysis, check to measure CH Robinson's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CH Robinson is operating at the current time. Most of CH Robinson's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CH Robinson's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CH Robinson's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CH Robinson to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.