Ftai Aviation Stock Price Prediction
| FTAI Stock | USD 292.10 1.39 0.47% |
Momentum 80
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.447 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.291 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.7725 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.733 | Wall Street Target Price 262.1 |
Using FTAI Aviation hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FTAI Aviation from the perspective of FTAI Aviation response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards FTAI Aviation using FTAI Aviation's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards FTAI using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of FTAI Aviation's stock price.
FTAI Aviation Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in FTAI Aviation's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards FTAI. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of FTAI Aviation stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 148.4213 | Short Percent 0.0427 | Short Ratio 3.97 | Shares Short Prior Month 4 M | 50 Day MA 187.9379 |
FTAI Aviation Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to FTAI Aviation's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in FTAI. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding FTAI can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around FTAI Aviation. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of FTAI Aviation's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about FTAI Aviation.
FTAI Aviation Implied Volatility | 1.06 |
FTAI Aviation's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of FTAI Aviation stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if FTAI Aviation's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that FTAI Aviation stock will not fluctuate a lot when FTAI Aviation's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in FTAI Aviation to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying FTAI because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
FTAI Aviation after-hype prediction price | USD 296.89 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current FTAI contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that FTAI Aviation will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0663% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With FTAI Aviation trading at USD 292.1, that is roughly USD 0.19 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating FTAI Aviation's daily price movement you should consider acquiring FTAI Aviation options at the current volatility level of 1.06%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out FTAI Aviation Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. FTAI Aviation After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of FTAI Aviation at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FTAI Aviation or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of FTAI Aviation, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
FTAI Aviation Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting FTAI Aviation's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FTAI Aviation's historical news coverage. FTAI Aviation's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 293.14 and 300.64, respectively. We have considered FTAI Aviation's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
FTAI Aviation is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FTAI Aviation is based on 3 months time horizon.
FTAI Aviation Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as FTAI Aviation is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FTAI Aviation backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FTAI Aviation, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.82 | 3.76 | 8.61 | 0.61 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
292.10 | 296.89 | 1.16 |
|
FTAI Aviation Hype Timeline
FTAI Aviation is currently traded for 292.10. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 8.61, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.61. FTAI is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 296.89 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 35.81%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 1.16%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.82%. The volatility of related hype on FTAI Aviation is about 502.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 292.71. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.75 B. Net Income was 8.68 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 965.13 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out FTAI Aviation Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.FTAI Aviation Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to FTAI Aviation's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FTAI Aviation's future price movements. Getting to know how FTAI Aviation's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FTAI Aviation may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RBA | RB Global | (1.32) | 12 per month | 0.96 | 0.12 | 2.23 | (1.78) | 7.27 | |
| CHRW | CH Robinson Worldwide | (0.75) | 8 per month | 0.57 | 0.17 | 2.87 | (1.70) | 22.91 | |
| ACM | Aecom Technology | 1.35 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 1.78 | (3.01) | 13.23 | |
| SNA | Snap On | (2.38) | 11 per month | 0.78 | 0.05 | 1.94 | (1.45) | 3.63 | |
| WWD | Woodward | 1.79 | 7 per month | 1.22 | 0.16 | 3.61 | (2.23) | 16.03 | |
| NVT | nVent Electric PLC | 1.78 | 11 per month | 2.59 | 0.04 | 3.81 | (3.99) | 16.83 | |
| PNR | Pentair PLC | 3.50 | 6 per month | 1.45 | (0.07) | 2.78 | (2.40) | 7.55 | |
| TRU | TransUnion | (0.29) | 10 per month | 1.86 | 0.03 | 3.72 | (3.02) | 9.21 | |
| AER | AerCap Holdings NV | (1.10) | 11 per month | 0.68 | 0.12 | 2.39 | (1.63) | 11.63 | |
| LII | Lennox International | 4.90 | 11 per month | 2.27 | (0.05) | 2.75 | (2.67) | 12.85 |
FTAI Aviation Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine FTAI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FTAI using various technical indicators. When you analyze FTAI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About FTAI Aviation Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of FTAI Aviation stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as FTAI Aviation, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of FTAI Aviation based on analysis of FTAI Aviation hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to FTAI Aviation's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to FTAI Aviation's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0327 | 0.0106 | 0.0121 | 0.0115 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.91 | 8.36 | 9.61 | 9.13 |
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Complementary Tools for FTAI Stock analysis
When running FTAI Aviation's price analysis, check to measure FTAI Aviation's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FTAI Aviation is operating at the current time. Most of FTAI Aviation's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FTAI Aviation's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FTAI Aviation's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FTAI Aviation to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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