China Mengniu Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

CIADFDelisted Stock  USD 2.50  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of China Mengniu Dairy on the next trading day is expected to be 2.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.12. China Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of China Mengniu's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 3rd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of China Mengniu's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of China Mengniu's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of China Mengniu and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from China Mengniu's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with China Mengniu Dairy, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using China Mengniu hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of China Mengniu Dairy from the perspective of China Mengniu response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of China Mengniu Dairy on the next trading day is expected to be 2.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.12.

China Mengniu after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in small area income & poverty estimates.

China Mengniu Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine China price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for China using various technical indicators. When you analyze China charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
China Mengniu simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for China Mengniu Dairy are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as China Mengniu Dairy prices get older.

China Mengniu Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of China Mengniu Dairy on the next trading day is expected to be 2.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.12.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict China Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that China Mengniu's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

China Mengniu Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest China MengniuChina Mengniu Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of China Mengniu pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent China Mengniu pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.3158
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.017
MADMean absolute deviation0.0187
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0073
SAESum of the absolute errors1.12
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting China Mengniu Dairy forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent China Mengniu observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for China Mengniu

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Mengniu Dairy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of China Mengniu's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.502.502.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.921.922.75
Details

China Mengniu Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with China Mengniu pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of China Mengniu could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing China Mengniu by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

China Mengniu Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how China Mengniu pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading China Mengniu shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying China Mengniu pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify China Mengniu Dairy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in small area income & poverty estimates.
You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

Other Consideration for investing in China Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in China Mengniu Dairy check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the China Mengniu's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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