CIB Marine OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

CIBH Stock  USD 35.60  0.04  0.11%   
CIB OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CIB Marine's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 27th of January 2026, the value of RSI of CIB Marine's share price is approaching 37 suggesting that the otc stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling CIB Marine, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 37

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
CIB Marine Bancshares stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of CIB Marine shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of CIB Marine's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of CIB Marine and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from CIB Marine's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CIB Marine Bancshares, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of CIB Marine based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using CIB Marine hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CIB Marine Bancshares from the perspective of CIB Marine response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CIB Marine Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 35.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.54.

CIB Marine after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 35.6  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CIB Marine to cross-verify your projections.

CIB Marine Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine CIB price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CIB using various technical indicators. When you analyze CIB charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
CIB Marine simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for CIB Marine Bancshares are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as CIB Marine Bancshares prices get older.

CIB Marine Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CIB Marine Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 35.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27, mean absolute percentage error of 0.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.54.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CIB OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CIB Marine's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CIB Marine OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest CIB Marine  CIB Marine Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

CIB Marine Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CIB Marine's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CIB Marine's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 34.17 and 37.12, respectively. We have considered CIB Marine's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
35.60
35.64
Expected Value
37.12
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CIB Marine otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CIB Marine otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.747
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0114
MADMean absolute deviation0.2712
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0075
SAESum of the absolute errors16.5434
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting CIB Marine Bancshares forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent CIB Marine observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for CIB Marine

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CIB Marine Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.1435.6037.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.1735.6337.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
36.1637.1938.21
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CIB Marine. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CIB Marine's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CIB Marine's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CIB Marine Bancshares.

CIB Marine After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of CIB Marine at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CIB Marine or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of CIB Marine, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

CIB Marine Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting CIB Marine's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CIB Marine's historical news coverage. CIB Marine's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 34.14 and 37.06, respectively. We have considered CIB Marine's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
35.60
35.60
After-hype Price
37.06
Upside
CIB Marine is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CIB Marine Bancshares is based on 3 months time horizon.

CIB Marine OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as CIB Marine is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CIB Marine backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CIB Marine, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03 
1.47
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
35.60
35.60
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

CIB Marine Hype Timeline

CIB Marine Bancshares is currently traded for 35.60. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. CIB is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on CIB Marine is about 2672.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.60. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.5. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. CIB Marine Bancshares last dividend was issued on the 14th of September 2020. The entity had 1:15 split on the 14th of September 2020. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CIB Marine to cross-verify your projections.

CIB Marine Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to CIB Marine's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CIB Marine's future price movements. Getting to know how CIB Marine's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CIB Marine may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PEBCPeoples Bancorp 1.34 2 per month 0.00 (0.21) 0.63 (1.02) 3.13 
NIDBNortheast Indiana Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.96  0.01  1.94 (1.83) 7.18 
FFWCFFW Corporation 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.12  0.69 (0.55) 3.53 
PBKXPartners Bank of 0.00 0 per month 0.25  0.18  3.01 (1.00) 5.98 
LSFGLifestore Financial Group 0.00 0 per month 1.77 (0.01) 4.28 (4.08) 20.93 
CEFCCommercial National Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.19  2.41 (1.06) 5.36 
HFBKHarford Bank(0.79)25 per month 1.14  0.07  3.29 (2.21) 13.08 
LFGPLedyard Financial Group 0.00 0 per month 0.69  0.07  2.05 (1.47) 9.08 
MBKLMBT Bancshares 0.00 0 per month 2.04  0.04  5.73 (3.38) 22.40 
BAOBBaraboo Bancorporation 0.00 0 per month 1.05  0.11  2.45 (1.78) 11.56 

Other Forecasting Options for CIB Marine

For every potential investor in CIB, whether a beginner or expert, CIB Marine's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CIB OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CIB. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CIB Marine's price trends.

CIB Marine Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CIB Marine otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CIB Marine could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CIB Marine by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CIB Marine Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CIB Marine otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CIB Marine shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CIB Marine otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CIB Marine Bancshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CIB Marine Risk Indicators

The analysis of CIB Marine's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CIB Marine's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cib otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for CIB Marine

The number of cover stories for CIB Marine depends on current market conditions and CIB Marine's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CIB Marine is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CIB Marine's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

CIB Marine Short Properties

CIB Marine's future price predictability will typically decrease when CIB Marine's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CIB Marine Bancshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CIB Marine's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CIB Marine's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Short Long Term DebtM
Shares Float840.8 K

Other Information on Investing in CIB OTC Stock

CIB Marine financial ratios help investors to determine whether CIB OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CIB with respect to the benefits of owning CIB Marine security.