China Construction Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| CICHF Stock | USD 1.00 0.05 5.26% |
China Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of China Construction's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 27th of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of China Construction's share price is at 51 suggesting that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling China Construction, making its price go up or down. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using China Construction hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of China Construction Bank from the perspective of China Construction response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of China Construction Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 1.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.43. China Construction after-hype prediction price | USD 0.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
China |
China Construction Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine China price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for China using various technical indicators. When you analyze China charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
China Construction Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of China Construction Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 1.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.43.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict China Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that China Construction's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
China Construction Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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China Construction Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting China Construction's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. China Construction's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 4.31, respectively. We have considered China Construction's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of China Construction pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent China Construction pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.3565 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 2.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0238 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.024 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.43 |
Predictive Modules for China Construction
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Construction Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.China Construction After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of China Construction at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in China Construction or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of China Construction, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
China Construction Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting China Construction's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on China Construction's historical news coverage. China Construction's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 4.30, respectively. We have considered China Construction's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
China Construction is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of China Construction Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.
China Construction Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as China Construction is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading China Construction backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with China Construction, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 3.31 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 21 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 21 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.00 | 0.99 | 1.00 |
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China Construction Hype Timeline
China Construction Bank is currently traded for 1.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. China is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.99. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -1.0%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.02%. The volatility of related hype on China Construction is about 11323.68%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.00. About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.39. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. China Construction Bank has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.52. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of June 2022. The firm had 3811:3697 split on the 10th of November 2010. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 21 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of China Construction to cross-verify your projections.China Construction Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to China Construction's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict China Construction's future price movements. Getting to know how China Construction's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how China Construction may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Other Forecasting Options for China Construction
For every potential investor in China, whether a beginner or expert, China Construction's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. China Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in China. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying China Construction's price trends.China Construction Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with China Construction pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of China Construction could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing China Construction by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
China Construction Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how China Construction pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading China Construction shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying China Construction pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify China Construction Bank entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
China Construction Risk Indicators
The analysis of China Construction's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in China Construction's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting china pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.49 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.87 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.41 | |||
| Variance | 11.61 | |||
| Downside Variance | 11.62 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.22 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.28) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for China Construction
The number of cover stories for China Construction depends on current market conditions and China Construction's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that China Construction is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about China Construction's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in China Pink Sheet
China Construction financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Construction security.