Companhia Energetica Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

CIG Stock  USD 2.03  0.03  1.50%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Companhia Energetica de on the next trading day is expected to be 2.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.03. Companhia Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Companhia Energetica's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 11th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Companhia Energetica's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Companhia Energetica's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Companhia Energetica and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Companhia Energetica's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Companhia Energetica de, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Companhia Energetica's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.76)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.066
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.21
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.15
Wall Street Target Price
2.0033
Using Companhia Energetica hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Companhia Energetica de from the perspective of Companhia Energetica response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Companhia Energetica using Companhia Energetica's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Companhia using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Companhia Energetica's stock price.

Companhia Energetica Implied Volatility

    
  1.72  
Companhia Energetica's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Companhia Energetica de stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Companhia Energetica's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Companhia Energetica stock will not fluctuate a lot when Companhia Energetica's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Companhia Energetica de on the next trading day is expected to be 2.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.03.

Companhia Energetica after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.02  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Companhia Energetica to cross-verify your projections.
At this time, Companhia Energetica's Inventory Turnover is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The Companhia Energetica's current Fixed Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 9.17, while Payables Turnover is projected to decrease to 5.21. . The Companhia Energetica's current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 2.7 B. The Companhia Energetica's current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 8.6 B.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Companhia Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Companhia Energetica's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Companhia Energetica's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Companhia Energetica stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Companhia Energetica's open interest, investors have to compare it to Companhia Energetica's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Companhia Energetica is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Companhia. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Companhia Energetica Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Companhia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Companhia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Companhia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Companhia Energetica Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Companhia Energetica's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2000-12-31
Previous Quarter
B
Current Value
1.5 B
Quarterly Volatility
B
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Companhia Energetica is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Companhia Energetica de value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Companhia Energetica Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Companhia Energetica de on the next trading day is expected to be 2.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.03.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Companhia Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Companhia Energetica's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Companhia Energetica Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Companhia EnergeticaCompanhia Energetica Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Companhia Energetica Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Companhia Energetica's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Companhia Energetica's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.14 and 3.85, respectively. We have considered Companhia Energetica's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.03
2.00
Expected Value
3.85
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Companhia Energetica stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Companhia Energetica stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.8034
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0333
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0166
SAESum of the absolute errors2.0286
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Companhia Energetica de. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Companhia Energetica. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Companhia Energetica

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Companhia Energetica. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.152.023.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.162.033.90
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
1.822.002.22
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Companhia Energetica

For every potential investor in Companhia, whether a beginner or expert, Companhia Energetica's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Companhia Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Companhia. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Companhia Energetica's price trends.

Companhia Energetica Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Companhia Energetica stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Companhia Energetica could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Companhia Energetica by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Companhia Energetica Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Companhia Energetica's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Companhia Energetica's current price.

Companhia Energetica Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Companhia Energetica stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Companhia Energetica shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Companhia Energetica stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Companhia Energetica de entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Companhia Energetica Risk Indicators

The analysis of Companhia Energetica's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Companhia Energetica's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting companhia stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Companhia Energetica is a strong investment it is important to analyze Companhia Energetica's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Companhia Energetica's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Companhia Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Companhia Energetica to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Is Electric Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Companhia Energetica. If investors know Companhia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Companhia Energetica listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.76)
Dividend Share
1.31
Earnings Share
0.42
Revenue Per Share
14.831
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.046
The market value of Companhia Energetica is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Companhia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Companhia Energetica's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Companhia Energetica's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Companhia Energetica's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Companhia Energetica's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Companhia Energetica's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Companhia Energetica is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Companhia Energetica's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.