Avista Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 36.62 37.76 43.15 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 39.08 40.22 41.36 Details

5 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 33.67 37.00 41.07 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 0.57 0.59 0.61 Details

Avista After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Avista Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Avista Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.04	1.14	0.03	0.02	11 Events / Month	7 Events / Month	In about 11 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
39.23	39.20	0.08	156.16   Notes

Avista Hype Timeline

On the 26th of November Avista is traded for 39.23. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Avista is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 39.2. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 156.16%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Avista is about 201.18%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.25. About 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.23. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Avista has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.89. The entity last dividend was issued on the 26th of November 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 10th of November 1993. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Avista Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Avista Stock refer to our How to Trade Avista Stock guide.

Avista Related Hype Analysis

Avista Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Avista price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Avista using various technical indicators. When you analyze Avista charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Avista stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Avista, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Avista based on analysis of Avista hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Avista depends on current market conditions and Avista's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Avista is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Avista's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Avista's future price predictability will typically decrease when Avista's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Avista often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Avista's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Avista's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running Avista's price analysis, check to measure Avista's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Avista is operating at the current time. Most of Avista's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Avista's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Avista's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Avista to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.