Callan JMB Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| CJMB Stock | 1.81 0.09 5.23% |
Callan Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Callan JMB stock prices and determine the direction of Callan JMB Common's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Callan JMB's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Callan JMB's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.008 |
Using Callan JMB hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Callan JMB Common from the perspective of Callan JMB response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Callan JMB Common on the next trading day is expected to be 1.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.50. Callan JMB after-hype prediction price | USD 1.57 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Callan JMB to cross-verify your projections. Callan JMB Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Callan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Callan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Callan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Callan JMB Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Callan JMB Common on the next trading day is expected to be 1.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.50.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Callan Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Callan JMB's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Callan JMB Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Callan JMB | Callan JMB Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Callan JMB Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Callan JMB's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Callan JMB's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 38.60, respectively. We have considered Callan JMB's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Callan JMB stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Callan JMB stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0347 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2083 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0885 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.5 |
Predictive Modules for Callan JMB
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Callan JMB Common. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Callan JMB After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Callan JMB at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Callan JMB or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Callan JMB, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Callan JMB Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Callan JMB's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Callan JMB's historical news coverage. Callan JMB's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 38.36, respectively. We have considered Callan JMB's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Callan JMB is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Callan JMB Common is based on 3 months time horizon.
Callan JMB Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Callan JMB is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Callan JMB backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Callan JMB, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.61 | 36.79 | 0.24 | 2.05 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.81 | 1.57 | 13.26 |
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Callan JMB Hype Timeline
Callan JMB Common is currently traded for 1.81. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.24, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 2.05. Callan is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.57. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -13.26%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.61%. The volatility of related hype on Callan JMB is about 2889.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.86. About 69.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Callan JMB was currently reported as 0.9. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.56. Callan JMB Common had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Callan JMB to cross-verify your projections.Callan JMB Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Callan JMB's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Callan JMB's future price movements. Getting to know how Callan JMB's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Callan JMB may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FDX | FedEx | 2.69 | 10 per month | 0.46 | 0.32 | 3.52 | (1.59) | 7.76 | |
| NOC | Northrop Grumman | 0.02 | 7 per month | 1.32 | 0.14 | 2.91 | (1.78) | 9.88 | |
| WM | Waste Management | (0.46) | 9 per month | 0.90 | 0.13 | 2.06 | (1.42) | 6.00 | |
| EMR | Emerson Electric | (1.82) | 8 per month | 1.82 | 0.06 | 3.43 | (3.00) | 9.23 | |
| MMM | 3M Company | (2.48) | 11 per month | 1.75 | 0.02 | 2.33 | (2.06) | 9.29 | |
| TDG | Transdigm Group Incorporated | 9.41 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 1.76 | (2.03) | 12.34 | |
| JCI | Johnson Controls International | 0.26 | 6 per month | 1.46 | 0.08 | 3.03 | (2.00) | 15.08 | |
| ITW | Illinois Tool Works | 2.89 | 9 per month | 0.85 | 0.15 | 2.77 | (2.12) | 6.22 | |
| HWM | Howmet Aerospace | 0.95 | 10 per month | 1.44 | 0.02 | 3.27 | (2.29) | 7.17 |
Other Forecasting Options for Callan JMB
For every potential investor in Callan, whether a beginner or expert, Callan JMB's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Callan Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Callan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Callan JMB's price trends.Callan JMB Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Callan JMB stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Callan JMB could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Callan JMB by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Callan JMB Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Callan JMB stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Callan JMB shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Callan JMB stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Callan JMB Common entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 24326.09 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.3462 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.05 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.68 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.72 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.18 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.09 |
Callan JMB Risk Indicators
The analysis of Callan JMB's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Callan JMB's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting callan stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 10.89 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 10.07 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 35.35 | |||
| Variance | 1249.93 | |||
| Downside Variance | 126.23 | |||
| Semi Variance | 101.31 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (15.22) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Callan JMB
The number of cover stories for Callan JMB depends on current market conditions and Callan JMB's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Callan JMB is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Callan JMB's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Callan JMB Short Properties
Callan JMB's future price predictability will typically decrease when Callan JMB's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Callan JMB Common often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Callan JMB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Callan JMB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Callan JMB to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Is Air Freight & Logistics space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Callan JMB. Projected growth potential of Callan fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Callan JMB assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share (1.56) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.008 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Callan JMB Common's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Callan's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Callan JMB's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Callan JMB's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Callan JMB's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Callan JMB should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Callan JMB's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.