Callan JMB Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

CJMB Stock   1.39  0.03  2.21%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Callan JMB Common on the next trading day is expected to be 1.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.36. Callan Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Callan JMB stock prices and determine the direction of Callan JMB Common's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Callan JMB's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At present, Callan JMB's Receivables Turnover is projected to slightly grow based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 1.52, whereas Inventory Turnover is forecasted to decline to 24.00. . The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 3.4 M.
Triple exponential smoothing for Callan JMB - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Callan JMB prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Callan JMB price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Callan JMB Common.

Callan JMB Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Callan JMB Common on the next trading day is expected to be 1.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.36.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Callan Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Callan JMB's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Callan JMB Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Callan JMBCallan JMB Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Callan JMB Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Callan JMB's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Callan JMB's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 7.95, respectively. We have considered Callan JMB's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.39
1.34
Expected Value
7.95
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Callan JMB stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Callan JMB stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.025
MADMean absolute deviation0.1226
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0482
SAESum of the absolute errors7.3554
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Callan JMB observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Callan JMB Common observations.

Predictive Modules for Callan JMB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Callan JMB Common. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.307.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.337.90
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Callan JMB

For every potential investor in Callan, whether a beginner or expert, Callan JMB's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Callan Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Callan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Callan JMB's price trends.

Callan JMB Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Callan JMB stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Callan JMB could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Callan JMB by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Callan JMB Common Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Callan JMB's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Callan JMB's current price.

Callan JMB Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Callan JMB stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Callan JMB shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Callan JMB stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Callan JMB Common entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Callan JMB Risk Indicators

The analysis of Callan JMB's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Callan JMB's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting callan stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Callan JMB Common offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Callan JMB's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Callan Jmb Common Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Callan Jmb Common Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Callan JMB to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Is Air Freight & Logistics space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Callan JMB. If investors know Callan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Callan JMB listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.56)
Revenue Per Share
1.494
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.008
Return On Assets
(0.51)
Return On Equity
(1.55)
The market value of Callan JMB Common is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Callan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Callan JMB's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Callan JMB's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Callan JMB's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Callan JMB's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Callan JMB's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Callan JMB is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Callan JMB's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.