CleanSpark Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| CLSK Stock | USD 11.04 0.80 6.76% |
CleanSpark Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although CleanSpark's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of CleanSpark's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of CleanSpark fundamentals over time.
As of now, the relative strength indicator of CleanSpark's share price is approaching 42 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling CleanSpark, making its price go up or down. Momentum 42
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.916 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.18 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.565 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.54 | Wall Street Target Price 23.0769 |
Using CleanSpark hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CleanSpark from the perspective of CleanSpark response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CleanSpark using CleanSpark's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CleanSpark using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CleanSpark's stock price.
CleanSpark Short Interest
An investor who is long CleanSpark may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about CleanSpark and may potentially protect profits, hedge CleanSpark with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 12.0505 | Short Percent 0.4516 | Short Ratio 3.19 | Shares Short Prior Month 80.6 M | 50 Day MA 12.4516 |
CleanSpark Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CleanSpark on the next trading day is expected to be 11.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.44.CleanSpark Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to CleanSpark's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in CleanSpark. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CleanSpark can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CleanSpark. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of CleanSpark's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about CleanSpark.
CleanSpark Implied Volatility | 1.14 |
CleanSpark's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CleanSpark stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CleanSpark's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CleanSpark stock will not fluctuate a lot when CleanSpark's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CleanSpark on the next trading day is expected to be 11.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.44. CleanSpark after-hype prediction price | USD 10.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
CleanSpark | Build AI portfolio with CleanSpark Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current CleanSpark contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that CleanSpark will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0712% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With CleanSpark trading at USD 11.04, that is roughly USD 0.007866 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating CleanSpark's daily price movement you should consider acquiring CleanSpark options at the current volatility level of 1.14%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 CleanSpark Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast CleanSpark's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in CleanSpark's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for CleanSpark stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current CleanSpark's open interest, investors have to compare it to CleanSpark's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of CleanSpark is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in CleanSpark. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
CleanSpark Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CleanSpark price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CleanSpark using various technical indicators. When you analyze CleanSpark charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CleanSpark Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CleanSpark on the next trading day is expected to be 11.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62, mean absolute percentage error of 0.61, and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.44.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CleanSpark Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CleanSpark's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CleanSpark Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CleanSpark | CleanSpark Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
CleanSpark Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CleanSpark's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CleanSpark's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.81 and 17.27, respectively. We have considered CleanSpark's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CleanSpark stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CleanSpark stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.7854 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0923 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.624 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0494 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 37.44 |
Predictive Modules for CleanSpark
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CleanSpark. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CleanSpark's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CleanSpark After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CleanSpark at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CleanSpark or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CleanSpark, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CleanSpark Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CleanSpark's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CleanSpark's historical news coverage. CleanSpark's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.57 and 17.03, respectively. We have considered CleanSpark's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CleanSpark is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CleanSpark is based on 3 months time horizon.
CleanSpark Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CleanSpark is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CleanSpark backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CleanSpark, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.48 | 6.23 | 0.24 | 0.16 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
11.04 | 10.80 | 2.17 |
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CleanSpark Hype Timeline
CleanSpark is currently traded for 11.04. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.24, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.16. CleanSpark is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 10.8. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -2.17%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.48%. The volatility of related hype on CleanSpark is about 1911.04%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.88. About 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.48. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. CleanSpark last dividend was issued on the 21st of June 2021. The entity had 1:10 split on the 11th of December 2019. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CleanSpark to cross-verify your projections.CleanSpark Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CleanSpark's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CleanSpark's future price movements. Getting to know how CleanSpark's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CleanSpark may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BTDR | Bitdeer Technologies Group | (0.25) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 8.05 | (9.13) | 23.93 | |
| CWAN | Clearwater Analytics Holdings | (0.05) | 12 per month | 1.92 | 0.12 | 4.31 | (3.95) | 14.20 | |
| ACIW | ACI Worldwide | 0.81 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.08 | (3.30) | 9.43 | |
| BULL | Webull Corp | (0.12) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 4.58 | (5.86) | 12.33 | |
| WEX | Wex Inc | (1.15) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.31 | (2.82) | 8.14 | |
| ITRI | Itron Inc | (0.43) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.51 | (4.16) | 24.28 | |
| WK | Workiva | 0.15 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.07 | (3.49) | 12.02 | |
| OS | OneStream Class A | 0.01 | 8 per month | 2.53 | 0.07 | 5.27 | (4.81) | 29.57 | |
| BILL | Bill Com Holdings | (2.08) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.55 | (4.62) | 18.79 | |
| BOX | Box Inc | (0.15) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 2.76 | (3.64) | 11.36 |
Other Forecasting Options for CleanSpark
For every potential investor in CleanSpark, whether a beginner or expert, CleanSpark's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CleanSpark Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CleanSpark. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CleanSpark's price trends.CleanSpark Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CleanSpark stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CleanSpark could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CleanSpark by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CleanSpark Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CleanSpark stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CleanSpark shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CleanSpark stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CleanSpark entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.93 | |||
| Day Median Price | 11.04 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 11.04 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.40) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.80) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 42.12 |
CleanSpark Risk Indicators
The analysis of CleanSpark's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CleanSpark's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cleanspark stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.69 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.09 | |||
| Variance | 37.13 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CleanSpark
The number of cover stories for CleanSpark depends on current market conditions and CleanSpark's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CleanSpark is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CleanSpark's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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CleanSpark Short Properties
CleanSpark's future price predictability will typically decrease when CleanSpark's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CleanSpark often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CleanSpark's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CleanSpark's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 317.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CleanSpark to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy CleanSpark Stock please use our How to buy in CleanSpark Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CleanSpark. Projected growth potential of CleanSpark fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive CleanSpark assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.916 | Earnings Share 1.05 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.505 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate CleanSpark using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating CleanSpark's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause CleanSpark's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between CleanSpark's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding CleanSpark should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, CleanSpark's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.