Euro Tech Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| CLWT Stock | USD 1.29 0.01 0.77% |
Euro Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Euro Tech's share price is at 56 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Euro Tech, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.68) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.19) |
Using Euro Tech hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Euro Tech Holdings from the perspective of Euro Tech response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Euro Tech Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.45. Euro Tech after-hype prediction price | USD 1.29 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Euro Tech to cross-verify your projections. Euro Tech Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Euro price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Euro using various technical indicators. When you analyze Euro charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Euro Tech Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Euro Tech Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0009, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.45.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Euro Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Euro Tech's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Euro Tech Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Euro Tech | Euro Tech Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Euro Tech Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Euro Tech's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Euro Tech's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 3.96, respectively. We have considered Euro Tech's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Euro Tech stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Euro Tech stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 107.4708 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0019 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0245 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0209 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.445 |
Predictive Modules for Euro Tech
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Euro Tech Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Euro Tech's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Euro Tech After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Euro Tech at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Euro Tech or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Euro Tech, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Euro Tech Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Euro Tech's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Euro Tech's historical news coverage. Euro Tech's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 3.96, respectively. We have considered Euro Tech's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Euro Tech is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Euro Tech Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Euro Tech Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Euro Tech is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Euro Tech backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Euro Tech, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 2.67 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.29 | 1.29 | 0.00 |
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Euro Tech Hype Timeline
Euro Tech Holdings is currently traded for 1.29. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.04. Euro is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on Euro Tech is about 1080.97%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.25. About 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.63. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Euro Tech Holdings last dividend was issued on the 13th of June 2024. The entity had 10:55 split on the 17th of January 2012. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Euro Tech to cross-verify your projections.Euro Tech Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Euro Tech's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Euro Tech's future price movements. Getting to know how Euro Tech's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Euro Tech may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ZOOZ | ZOOZ Power Ltd | (0.03) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 10.34 | (10.17) | 65.52 | |
| SOAR | Volato Group | (0.08) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 8.42 | (14.97) | 36.59 | |
| DEVS | DevvStream Corp Common | (0.76) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 15.17 | (10.71) | 41.39 | |
| CVR | Chicago Rivet Machine | (0.31) | 9 per month | 2.72 | 0.14 | 6.82 | (4.16) | 21.37 | |
| POLA | Polar Power | 0.09 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 12.44 | (10.95) | 52.02 | |
| CETY | Clean Energy Technologies | (0.08) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 8.93 | (13.04) | 140.58 | |
| MWG | Multi Ways Holdings | 0.00 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 8.00 | (7.41) | 60.59 | |
| KITT | Nauticus Robotics | (0.21) | 9 per month | 9.97 | 0 | 15.58 | (16.04) | 141.67 | |
| MNTS | Momentus | (1.07) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 17.86 | (17.01) | 70.67 | |
| UUU | Universal Security Instruments | (0.02) | 8 per month | 6.74 | 0.02 | 9.75 | (9.97) | 42.44 |
Other Forecasting Options for Euro Tech
For every potential investor in Euro, whether a beginner or expert, Euro Tech's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Euro Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Euro. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Euro Tech's price trends.Euro Tech Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Euro Tech stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Euro Tech could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Euro Tech by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Euro Tech Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Euro Tech stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Euro Tech shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Euro Tech stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Euro Tech Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Euro Tech Risk Indicators
The analysis of Euro Tech's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Euro Tech's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting euro stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.09 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.5 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.63 | |||
| Variance | 6.9 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.22 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.25 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.39) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Euro Tech
The number of cover stories for Euro Tech depends on current market conditions and Euro Tech's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Euro Tech is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Euro Tech's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Euro Tech Short Properties
Euro Tech's future price predictability will typically decrease when Euro Tech's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Euro Tech Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Euro Tech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Euro Tech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.8 M |
Additional Tools for Euro Stock Analysis
When running Euro Tech's price analysis, check to measure Euro Tech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Euro Tech is operating at the current time. Most of Euro Tech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Euro Tech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Euro Tech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Euro Tech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.