Commercial Metals Stock Forward View - Price Action Indicator
| CMC Stock | USD 83.18 0.00 0.00% |
Commercial Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Commercial Metals stock prices and determine the direction of Commercial Metals's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Commercial Metals' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength momentum indicator of Commercial Metals' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.513 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.253 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.1703 | Wall Street Target Price 80.3 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 1.5419 |
Using Commercial Metals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Commercial Metals from the perspective of Commercial Metals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Commercial Metals using Commercial Metals' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Commercial using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Commercial Metals' stock price.
Commercial Metals Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Commercial Metals' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Commercial. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Commercial Metals stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 58.0276 | Short Percent 0.0486 | Short Ratio 3.21 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.6 M | 50 Day MA 71.3286 |
Commercial Relative Strength Index
Commercial Metals Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Commercial Metals' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Commercial. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Commercial can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Commercial Metals. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Commercial Metals' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Commercial Metals.
Commercial Metals Implied Volatility | 0.66 |
Commercial Metals' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Commercial Metals stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Commercial Metals' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Commercial Metals stock will not fluctuate a lot when Commercial Metals' options are near their expiration.
Commercial Metals after-hype prediction price | USD 82.88 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Commercial | Build AI portfolio with Commercial Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Commercial contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Commercial Metals will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0413% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Commercial Metals trading at USD 83.18, that is roughly USD 0.0343 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Commercial Metals' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Commercial Metals options at the current volatility level of 0.66%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Commercial Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Commercial Metals' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Commercial Metals' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Commercial Metals stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Commercial Metals' open interest, investors have to compare it to Commercial Metals' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Commercial Metals is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Commercial. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Commercial Metals Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Commercial price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Commercial using various technical indicators. When you analyze Commercial charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Check Commercial Metals Volatility | Backtest Commercial Metals | Information Ratio |
Commercial Metals Trading Date Momentum
| On February 06 2026 Commercial Metals was traded for 83.17 at the closing time. Highest Commercial Metals's price during the trading hours was 84.10 and the lowest price during the day was 80.25 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 6th of February did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to current price is 0.00% . |
Price Action Indicator (or PAIN) was developed by Michael B. Geraty and published in 'Futures' magazine in August 1997.
| Compare Commercial Metals to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Commercial Metals
For every potential investor in Commercial, whether a beginner or expert, Commercial Metals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Commercial Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Commercial. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Commercial Metals' price trends.Commercial Metals Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Commercial Metals stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Commercial Metals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Commercial Metals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Commercial Metals Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Commercial Metals stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Commercial Metals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Commercial Metals stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Commercial Metals entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0458 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 82.18 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 82.51 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 3.85 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.01 |
Commercial Metals Risk Indicators
The analysis of Commercial Metals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Commercial Metals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting commercial stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.62 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.11 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.97 | |||
| Variance | 3.87 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.14 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.23 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.10) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Commercial Metals
The number of cover stories for Commercial Metals depends on current market conditions and Commercial Metals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Commercial Metals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Commercial Metals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Commercial Metals Short Properties
Commercial Metals' future price predictability will typically decrease when Commercial Metals' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Commercial Metals often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Commercial Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Commercial Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 114.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Commercial Metals to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Commercial Stock refer to our How to Trade Commercial Stock guide.You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Will Metals & Mining sector continue expanding? Could Commercial diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Commercial Metals. Projected growth potential of Commercial fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Commercial Metals data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.513 | Dividend Share 0.72 | Earnings Share 3.86 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.11 |
Commercial Metals's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Commercial's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Commercial Metals' intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Commercial Metals' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Commercial Metals' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Commercial Metals should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Commercial Metals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.