Cheetah Mobile Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| CMCM Stock | USD 6.66 0.18 2.63% |
Cheetah Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Cheetah Mobile's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Cheetah Mobile's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Cheetah Mobile fundamentals over time.
As of now, the relative strength indicator of Cheetah Mobile's share price is approaching 47 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Cheetah Mobile, making its price go up or down. Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.99) | EPS Estimate Current Year (4.85) | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.23) | Wall Street Target Price 9.1309 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.496 |
Using Cheetah Mobile hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cheetah Mobile from the perspective of Cheetah Mobile response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Cheetah Mobile using Cheetah Mobile's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Cheetah using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Cheetah Mobile's stock price.
Cheetah Mobile Short Interest
An investor who is long Cheetah Mobile may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Cheetah Mobile and may potentially protect profits, hedge Cheetah Mobile with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 5.9131 | Short Percent 0.0047 | Short Ratio 1.56 | Shares Short Prior Month 35.8 K | 50 Day MA 6.7713 |
Cheetah Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Cheetah Mobile on the next trading day is expected to be 6.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.03.Cheetah Mobile Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Cheetah Mobile's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Cheetah. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Cheetah can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Cheetah Mobile. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Cheetah Mobile's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Cheetah Mobile.
Cheetah Mobile Implied Volatility | 1.78 |
Cheetah Mobile's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Cheetah Mobile stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cheetah Mobile's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Cheetah Mobile stock will not fluctuate a lot when Cheetah Mobile's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Cheetah Mobile on the next trading day is expected to be 6.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.03. Cheetah Mobile after-hype prediction price | USD 6.37 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cheetah Mobile to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Cheetah contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Cheetah Mobile will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.11% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Cheetah Mobile trading at USD 6.66, that is roughly USD 0.007409 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Cheetah Mobile's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Cheetah Mobile options at the current volatility level of 1.78%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Cheetah Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Cheetah Mobile's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Cheetah Mobile's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Cheetah Mobile stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Cheetah Mobile's open interest, investors have to compare it to Cheetah Mobile's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Cheetah Mobile is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Cheetah. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Cheetah Mobile Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cheetah price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cheetah using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cheetah charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Cheetah Mobile Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Cheetah Mobile on the next trading day is expected to be 6.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.03.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cheetah Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cheetah Mobile's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cheetah Mobile Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Cheetah Mobile | Cheetah Mobile Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Cheetah Mobile Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Cheetah Mobile's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cheetah Mobile's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.94 and 11.38, respectively. We have considered Cheetah Mobile's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cheetah Mobile stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cheetah Mobile stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.4154 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0251 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2208 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0315 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 13.03 |
Predictive Modules for Cheetah Mobile
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cheetah Mobile. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cheetah Mobile's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cheetah Mobile After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cheetah Mobile at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cheetah Mobile or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cheetah Mobile, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cheetah Mobile Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cheetah Mobile's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cheetah Mobile's historical news coverage. Cheetah Mobile's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.65 and 11.09, respectively. We have considered Cheetah Mobile's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cheetah Mobile is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cheetah Mobile is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cheetah Mobile Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cheetah Mobile is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cheetah Mobile backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cheetah Mobile, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 4.72 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 6 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
6.66 | 6.37 | 6.87 |
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Cheetah Mobile Hype Timeline
Cheetah Mobile is currently traded for 6.66. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Cheetah is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 6.37. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -6.87%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Cheetah Mobile is about 3522.39%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.67. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.81. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Cheetah Mobile recorded a loss per share of 2.1. The entity last dividend was issued on the 22nd of June 2020. The firm had 1:5 split on the 2nd of September 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cheetah Mobile to cross-verify your projections.Cheetah Mobile Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cheetah Mobile's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cheetah Mobile's future price movements. Getting to know how Cheetah Mobile's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cheetah Mobile may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ONFO | Onfolio Holdings | (0.03) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 11.69 | (8.11) | 35.69 | |
| MNY | MoneyHero Limited Class | 0.13 | 8 per month | 4.27 | 0.03 | 9.85 | (5.76) | 39.95 | |
| CNET | ZW Data Action | 0.03 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 7.09 | (8.45) | 32.37 | |
| SLE | Super League Enterprise | 1.31 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 11.71 | (17.63) | 46.03 | |
| LCFY | Locafy | 0.07 | 35 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.71 | (8.43) | 61.19 | |
| BAOS | Baosheng Media Group | (0.02) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 6.50 | (6.69) | 44.14 | |
| FENG | Phoenix New Media | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.86 | (6.03) | 15.12 | |
| HOFV | Hall of Fame | 0.03 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 12.50 | (13.21) | 35.42 | |
| BZFD | BuzzFeed | (0.21) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 6.67 | (7.14) | 39.16 | |
| ZNB | Zeta Network Group | 0.02 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 8.54 | (10.17) | 90.82 |
Other Forecasting Options for Cheetah Mobile
For every potential investor in Cheetah, whether a beginner or expert, Cheetah Mobile's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cheetah Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cheetah. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cheetah Mobile's price trends.Cheetah Mobile Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cheetah Mobile stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cheetah Mobile could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cheetah Mobile by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cheetah Mobile Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cheetah Mobile stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cheetah Mobile shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cheetah Mobile stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cheetah Mobile entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Cheetah Mobile Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cheetah Mobile's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cheetah Mobile's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cheetah stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.92 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.7 | |||
| Variance | 22.09 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Cheetah Mobile
The number of cover stories for Cheetah Mobile depends on current market conditions and Cheetah Mobile's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cheetah Mobile is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cheetah Mobile's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Cheetah Mobile Short Properties
Cheetah Mobile's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cheetah Mobile's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cheetah Mobile often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cheetah Mobile's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cheetah Mobile's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 601.2 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cheetah Mobile to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Cheetah Stock, please use our How to Invest in Cheetah Mobile guide.You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cheetah Mobile. If investors know Cheetah will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cheetah Mobile listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.99) | Earnings Share (2.10) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.496 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Cheetah Mobile is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cheetah that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cheetah Mobile's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cheetah Mobile's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cheetah Mobile's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cheetah Mobile's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cheetah Mobile's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cheetah Mobile is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cheetah Mobile's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.