Comcast Corp Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| CMCSA Stock | USD 29.23 0.34 1.18% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Comcast Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 29.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.51. Comcast Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Comcast Corp stock prices and determine the direction of Comcast Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Comcast Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength indicator of Comcast Corp's stock price is about 60 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Comcast, making its price go up or down. Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.8385 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.2124 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.8466 | Wall Street Target Price 33.7561 |
Using Comcast Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Comcast Corp from the perspective of Comcast Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Comcast Corp using Comcast Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Comcast using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Comcast Corp's stock price.
Comcast Corp Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Comcast Corp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Comcast. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Comcast Corp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 30.006 | Short Percent 0.0169 | Short Ratio 1.58 | Shares Short Prior Month 53.5 M | 50 Day MA 26.6613 |
Comcast Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Comcast Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Comcast. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Comcast can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Comcast Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Comcast Corp Implied Volatility | 0.4 |
Comcast Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Comcast Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Comcast Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Comcast Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Comcast Corp's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Comcast Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 29.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.51.
Comcast Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 29.23 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Comcast Corp to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Comcast contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Comcast Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.025% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Comcast Corp trading at USD 29.23, that is roughly USD 0.007308 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Comcast Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Comcast Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.4%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Comcast Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Comcast Corp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Comcast Corp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Comcast Corp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Comcast Corp's open interest, investors have to compare it to Comcast Corp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Comcast Corp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Comcast. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Comcast Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Comcast price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Comcast using various technical indicators. When you analyze Comcast charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Comcast Corp Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Comcast Corp's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1985-12-31 | Previous Quarter 9.7 B | Current Value 9.3 B | Quarterly Volatility 3.4 B |
Comcast Corp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Comcast Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 29.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40, mean absolute percentage error of 0.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.51.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Comcast Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Comcast Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Comcast Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Comcast Corp | Comcast Corp Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Comcast Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Comcast Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Comcast Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 27.52 and 31.18, respectively. We have considered Comcast Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Comcast Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Comcast Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.6468 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3952 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.015 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 24.5054 |
Predictive Modules for Comcast Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Comcast Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Comcast Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Comcast Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Comcast Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Comcast Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Comcast Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Comcast Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Comcast Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Comcast Corp's historical news coverage. Comcast Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.42 and 31.04, respectively. We have considered Comcast Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Comcast Corp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Comcast Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Comcast Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Comcast Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Comcast Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Comcast Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 1.83 | 0.01 | 0.23 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
29.23 | 29.23 | 0.00 |
|
Comcast Corp Hype Timeline
Comcast Corp is currently traded for 29.23. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.23. Comcast is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Comcast Corp is about 104.72%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.00. About 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.08. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Comcast Corp recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.02. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of January 2026. The firm had 1067:1000 split on the 5th of January 2026. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Comcast Corp to cross-verify your projections.Comcast Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Comcast Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Comcast Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Comcast Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Comcast Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| T | ATT Inc | 0.28 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 1.53 | (1.85) | 4.30 | |
| AMX | America Movil SAB | (0.06) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.56 | (2.64) | 6.07 | |
| DASH | DoorDash Class A | (6.08) | 18 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.00 | (4.60) | 19.47 | |
| CHTR | Charter Communications | (6.08) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 2.56 | (4.25) | 8.51 | |
| RCI | Rogers Communications | (0.67) | 7 per month | 1.13 | (0.08) | 1.81 | (1.85) | 5.62 | |
| LBRDA | Liberty Broadband Srs | (0.54) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 2.54 | (3.96) | 8.90 | |
| RELX | Relx PLC ADR | (0.36) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 1.87 | (2.64) | 9.02 | |
| VZ | Verizon Communications | (0.47) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.98 | (2.49) | 5.34 |
Other Forecasting Options for Comcast Corp
For every potential investor in Comcast, whether a beginner or expert, Comcast Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Comcast Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Comcast. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Comcast Corp's price trends.Comcast Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Comcast Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Comcast Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Comcast Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Comcast Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Comcast Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Comcast Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Comcast Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Comcast Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Comcast Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Comcast Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Comcast Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting comcast stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.7 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.77 | |||
| Variance | 3.13 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.32 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.88 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.38) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Comcast Corp
The number of cover stories for Comcast Corp depends on current market conditions and Comcast Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Comcast Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Comcast Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Comcast Corp Short Properties
Comcast Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Comcast Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Comcast Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Comcast Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Comcast Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.8 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.3 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Comcast Corp to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Comcast Stock refer to our How to Trade Comcast Stock guide.You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Is Cable & Satellite space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Comcast Corp. If investors know Comcast will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Comcast Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | Dividend Share 1.3 | Earnings Share 6.02 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
The market value of Comcast Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Comcast that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Comcast Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Comcast Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Comcast Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Comcast Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Comcast Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Comcast Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Comcast Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.