Rogers Communications Stock Price Prediction

RCI Stock  USD 35.21  0.08  0.23%   
As of 22nd of November 2024, the relative strength index (RSI) of Rogers Communications' share price is approaching 40 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Rogers Communications, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

40

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Rogers Communications' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Rogers Communications, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Rogers Communications' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.677
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.94
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.9097
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.1975
Wall Street Target Price
69.0686
Using Rogers Communications hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Rogers Communications from the perspective of Rogers Communications response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Rogers Communications to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Rogers because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Rogers Communications after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 35.15  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Rogers Communications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Rogers Stock please use our How to Invest in Rogers Communications guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Rogers Communications' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.6945.2546.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
34.2535.3236.39
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
49.0453.8959.82
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.141.231.32
Details

Rogers Communications After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Rogers Communications at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Rogers Communications or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Rogers Communications, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Rogers Communications Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Rogers Communications' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Rogers Communications' historical news coverage. Rogers Communications' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 34.08 and 36.22, respectively. We have considered Rogers Communications' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
35.21
35.15
After-hype Price
36.22
Upside
Rogers Communications is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Rogers Communications is based on 3 months time horizon.

Rogers Communications Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Rogers Communications is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Rogers Communications backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Rogers Communications, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.21 
1.08
  0.06 
 0.00  
9 Events / Month
9 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
35.21
35.15
0.17 
400.00  
Notes

Rogers Communications Hype Timeline

On the 22nd of November Rogers Communications is traded for 35.21. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Rogers is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 35.15. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.17%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Rogers Communications is about 7200.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.21. About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Rogers Communications was at this time reported as 21.08. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.37. Rogers Communications last dividend was issued on the 9th of December 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 8th of January 2007. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Rogers Communications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Rogers Stock please use our How to Invest in Rogers Communications guide.

Rogers Communications Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Rogers Communications' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Rogers Communications' future price movements. Getting to know how Rogers Communications' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Rogers Communications may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BCEBCE Inc(0.38)7 per month 0.00 (0.28) 1.53 (1.83) 12.47 
DTEGYDeutsche Telekom AG 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.20) 1.71 (2.12) 8.36 
ORANOrange SA ADR(0.01)8 per month 0.00 (0.21) 1.40 (1.92) 5.67 
AMXAmerica Movil SAB 0.07 9 per month 0.00 (0.18) 2.58 (2.88) 7.18 
TUTelus Corp(0.06)8 per month 0.00 (0.1) 1.78 (1.32) 5.80 
VODVodafone Group PLC(0.06)7 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.03 (2.11) 11.30 
TEFTelefonica SA ADR(0.02)8 per month 0.00 (0.09) 2.12 (1.45) 6.16 
SKMSK Telecom Co(0.03)7 per month 0.00 (0.1) 2.11 (1.71) 5.94 
KTKT Corporation 0.05 10 per month 1.64  0.05  3.58 (2.09) 11.99 
VIVTelefonica Brasil SA(0.10)10 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.43 (2.93) 7.79 
TVGrupo Televisa SAB(0.18)6 per month 4.15 (0.01) 5.38 (6.56) 20.33 
LBRDALiberty Broadband Srs 0.54 9 per month 1.52  0.13  4.70 (3.19) 33.07 

Rogers Communications Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Rogers price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rogers using various technical indicators. When you analyze Rogers charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Rogers Communications Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Rogers Communications stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Rogers Communications, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Rogers Communications based on analysis of Rogers Communications hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Rogers Communications's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Rogers Communications's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.03320.03150.02960.0178
Price To Sales Ratio2.072.081.681.36

Story Coverage note for Rogers Communications

The number of cover stories for Rogers Communications depends on current market conditions and Rogers Communications' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Rogers Communications is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Rogers Communications' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Rogers Communications Short Properties

Rogers Communications' future price predictability will typically decrease when Rogers Communications' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Rogers Communications often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Rogers Communications' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rogers Communications' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding524 M
Cash And Short Term Investments880 M

Complementary Tools for Rogers Stock analysis

When running Rogers Communications' price analysis, check to measure Rogers Communications' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Rogers Communications is operating at the current time. Most of Rogers Communications' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Rogers Communications' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Rogers Communications' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Rogers Communications to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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