Claros Mortgage Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| CMTG Stock | USD 2.80 0.02 0.71% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Claros Mortgage Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 3.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.77. Claros Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Claros Mortgage's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 14th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Claros Mortgage's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.95) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.14) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.19) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.48) | Wall Street Target Price 3.3333 |
Using Claros Mortgage hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Claros Mortgage Trust from the perspective of Claros Mortgage response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Claros Mortgage using Claros Mortgage's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Claros using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Claros Mortgage's stock price.
Claros Mortgage Implied Volatility | 1.1 |
Claros Mortgage's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Claros Mortgage Trust stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Claros Mortgage's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Claros Mortgage stock will not fluctuate a lot when Claros Mortgage's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Claros Mortgage Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 3.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.77. Claros Mortgage after-hype prediction price | USD 2.79 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Claros Mortgage to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Claros Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Claros Mortgage's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Claros Mortgage's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Claros Mortgage stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Claros Mortgage's open interest, investors have to compare it to Claros Mortgage's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Claros Mortgage is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Claros. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Claros Mortgage Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Claros price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Claros using various technical indicators. When you analyze Claros charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Claros Mortgage Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Claros Mortgage's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2018-12-31 | Previous Quarter 209.2 M | Current Value 339.5 M | Quarterly Volatility 136.2 M |
Claros Mortgage Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 15th of January 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Claros Mortgage Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 3.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.77.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Claros Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Claros Mortgage's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Claros Mortgage Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Claros Mortgage | Claros Mortgage Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Claros Mortgage Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Claros Mortgage's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Claros Mortgage's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 6.41, respectively. We have considered Claros Mortgage's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Claros Mortgage stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Claros Mortgage stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.7202 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.093 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0296 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.7663 |
Predictive Modules for Claros Mortgage
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Claros Mortgage Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Claros Mortgage's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Claros Mortgage
For every potential investor in Claros, whether a beginner or expert, Claros Mortgage's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Claros Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Claros. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Claros Mortgage's price trends.Claros Mortgage Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Claros Mortgage stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Claros Mortgage could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Claros Mortgage by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Claros Mortgage Trust Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Claros Mortgage's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Claros Mortgage's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Claros Mortgage Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Claros Mortgage stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Claros Mortgage shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Claros Mortgage stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Claros Mortgage Trust entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 18207.55 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.15) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.8 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.8 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.02) |
Claros Mortgage Risk Indicators
The analysis of Claros Mortgage's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Claros Mortgage's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting claros stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.48 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.46 | |||
| Variance | 11.94 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether Claros Mortgage Trust is a strong investment it is important to analyze Claros Mortgage's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Claros Mortgage's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Claros Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Claros Mortgage to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Claros Mortgage. If investors know Claros will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Claros Mortgage listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.95) | Earnings Share (2.65) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.64) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Claros Mortgage Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Claros that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Claros Mortgage's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Claros Mortgage's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Claros Mortgage's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Claros Mortgage's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Claros Mortgage's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Claros Mortgage is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Claros Mortgage's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.