Claros Mortgage Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| CMTG Stock | USD 2.66 0.18 6.34% |
Claros Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Claros Mortgage's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 4th of February 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Claros Mortgage's share price is approaching 39 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Claros Mortgage, making its price go up or down. Momentum 39
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.95) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.14) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.19) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.48) | Wall Street Target Price 3.25 |
Using Claros Mortgage hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Claros Mortgage Trust from the perspective of Claros Mortgage response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Claros Mortgage using Claros Mortgage's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Claros using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Claros Mortgage's stock price.
Claros Mortgage Implied Volatility | 1.26 |
Claros Mortgage's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Claros Mortgage Trust stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Claros Mortgage's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Claros Mortgage stock will not fluctuate a lot when Claros Mortgage's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Claros Mortgage Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 2.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.76. Claros Mortgage after-hype prediction price | USD 2.66 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Claros Mortgage to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Claros Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Claros Mortgage's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Claros Mortgage's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Claros Mortgage stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Claros Mortgage's open interest, investors have to compare it to Claros Mortgage's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Claros Mortgage is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Claros. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Claros Mortgage Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Claros price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Claros using various technical indicators. When you analyze Claros charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Claros Mortgage Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Claros Mortgage Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 2.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.76.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Claros Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Claros Mortgage's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Claros Mortgage Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Claros Mortgage | Claros Mortgage Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Claros Mortgage Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Claros Mortgage's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Claros Mortgage's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 6.20, respectively. We have considered Claros Mortgage's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Claros Mortgage stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Claros Mortgage stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.0359 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0171 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0807 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0265 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.76 |
Predictive Modules for Claros Mortgage
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Claros Mortgage Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Claros Mortgage's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Claros Mortgage After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Claros Mortgage at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Claros Mortgage or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Claros Mortgage, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Claros Mortgage Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Claros Mortgage's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Claros Mortgage's historical news coverage. Claros Mortgage's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.13 and 6.27, respectively. We have considered Claros Mortgage's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Claros Mortgage is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Claros Mortgage Trust is based on 3 months time horizon.
Claros Mortgage Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Claros Mortgage is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Claros Mortgage backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Claros Mortgage, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.38 | 3.54 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 7 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.66 | 2.66 | 0.00 |
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Claros Mortgage Hype Timeline
Claros Mortgage Trust is currently traded for 2.66. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.04. Claros is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.38%. %. The volatility of related hype on Claros Mortgage is about 3284.54%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.62. About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.23. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Claros Mortgage Trust recorded a loss per share of 2.65. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of September 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Claros Mortgage to cross-verify your projections.Claros Mortgage Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Claros Mortgage's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Claros Mortgage's future price movements. Getting to know how Claros Mortgage's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Claros Mortgage may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IVR | Invesco Mortgage Capital | 0.18 | 7 per month | 0.91 | 0.22 | 3.44 | (1.89) | 8.51 | |
| RC | Ready Capital Corp | (0.02) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 5.19 | (4.92) | 14.40 | |
| PKST | Peakstone Realty Trust | (0.59) | 11 per month | 1.24 | 0.15 | 4.40 | (2.35) | 12.25 | |
| NREF | Nexpoint Real Estate | (0.07) | 10 per month | 1.17 | 0.13 | 2.44 | (1.62) | 8.26 | |
| KREF | KKR Real Estate | 0.15 | 10 per month | 1.54 | (0.01) | 2.66 | (2.77) | 6.97 | |
| SITC | Site Centers Corp | (0.05) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.30 | (2.54) | 6.71 | |
| NHPAP | National Healthcare Properties | (0.07) | 5 per month | 0.44 | 0.15 | 1.03 | (1.07) | 4.13 | |
| NLOP | Net Lease Office | 0.03 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.85 | (1.87) | 7.34 | |
| UHT | Universal Health Realty | (0.53) | 8 per month | 1.05 | 0.11 | 2.05 | (2.05) | 6.30 |
Other Forecasting Options for Claros Mortgage
For every potential investor in Claros, whether a beginner or expert, Claros Mortgage's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Claros Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Claros. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Claros Mortgage's price trends.Claros Mortgage Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Claros Mortgage stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Claros Mortgage could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Claros Mortgage by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Claros Mortgage Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Claros Mortgage stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Claros Mortgage shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Claros Mortgage stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Claros Mortgage Trust entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.94 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.66 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.66 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.09) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.18) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 39.88 |
Claros Mortgage Risk Indicators
The analysis of Claros Mortgage's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Claros Mortgage's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting claros stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.6 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.59 | |||
| Variance | 12.88 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Claros Mortgage
The number of cover stories for Claros Mortgage depends on current market conditions and Claros Mortgage's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Claros Mortgage is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Claros Mortgage's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Claros Mortgage Short Properties
Claros Mortgage's future price predictability will typically decrease when Claros Mortgage's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Claros Mortgage Trust often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Claros Mortgage's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Claros Mortgage's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 139.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 99.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Claros Mortgage to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Can Asset Management & Custody Banks industry sustain growth momentum? Does Claros have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Claros Mortgage. Projected growth potential of Claros fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Claros Mortgage demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.95) | Earnings Share (2.65) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.64) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Claros Mortgage Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Claros that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Claros Mortgage's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Claros Mortgage's true underlying value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Because Claros Mortgage's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Claros Mortgage's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Claros Mortgage's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Claros Mortgage should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Claros Mortgage's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.