Comtech Telecommunicatio Stock Forward View
| CMTL Stock | USD 5.56 0.21 3.64% |
Comtech Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Comtech Telecommunicatio's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Comtech Telecommunicatio's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Comtech Telecommunicatio fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Comtech Telecommunicatio's stock price is about 60 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Comtech, making its price go up or down. Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 5.87 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.96) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.82) | Wall Street Target Price 6 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.39) |
Using Comtech Telecommunicatio hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Comtech Telecommunications Corp from the perspective of Comtech Telecommunicatio response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Comtech Telecommunicatio using Comtech Telecommunicatio's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Comtech using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Comtech Telecommunicatio's stock price.
Comtech Telecommunicatio Short Interest
An investor who is long Comtech Telecommunicatio may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Comtech Telecommunicatio and may potentially protect profits, hedge Comtech Telecommunicatio with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 2.8128 | Short Percent 0.0263 | Short Ratio 1.62 | Shares Short Prior Month 888.9 K | 50 Day MA 4.3584 |
Comtech Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Comtech Telecommunications Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 5.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.91.Comtech Telecommunicatio Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Comtech Telecommunicatio's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Comtech. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Comtech can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Comtech Telecommunications Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Comtech Telecommunicatio's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Comtech Telecommunicatio.
Comtech Telecommunicatio Implied Volatility | 1.38 |
Comtech Telecommunicatio's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Comtech Telecommunications Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Comtech Telecommunicatio's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Comtech Telecommunicatio stock will not fluctuate a lot when Comtech Telecommunicatio's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Comtech Telecommunications Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 5.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.91. Comtech Telecommunicatio after-hype prediction price | USD 5.33 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Comtech Telecommunicatio to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Comtech Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Comtech Telecommunicatio's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Comtech Telecommunicatio's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Comtech Telecommunicatio stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Comtech Telecommunicatio's open interest, investors have to compare it to Comtech Telecommunicatio's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Comtech Telecommunicatio is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Comtech. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Comtech Telecommunicatio Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Comtech price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Comtech using various technical indicators. When you analyze Comtech charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Comtech Telecommunicatio Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Comtech Telecommunicatio's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 1989-07-31 | Previous Quarter 40 M | Current Value 43.6 M | Quarterly Volatility 50.3 T |
Comtech Telecommunicatio Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Comtech Telecommunications Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 5.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.91.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Comtech Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Comtech Telecommunicatio's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Comtech Telecommunicatio Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Comtech Telecommunicatio | Comtech Telecommunicatio Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Comtech Telecommunicatio Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Comtech Telecommunicatio's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Comtech Telecommunicatio's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.37 and 10.47, respectively. We have considered Comtech Telecommunicatio's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Comtech Telecommunicatio stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Comtech Telecommunicatio stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.6023 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2117 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0561 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.9131 |
Predictive Modules for Comtech Telecommunicatio
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Comtech Telecommunicatio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Comtech Telecommunicatio's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Comtech Telecommunicatio After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Comtech Telecommunicatio at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Comtech Telecommunicatio or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Comtech Telecommunicatio, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Comtech Telecommunicatio Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Comtech Telecommunicatio's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Comtech Telecommunicatio's historical news coverage. Comtech Telecommunicatio's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.28 and 10.38, respectively. We have considered Comtech Telecommunicatio's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Comtech Telecommunicatio is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Comtech Telecommunicatio is based on 3 months time horizon.
Comtech Telecommunicatio Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Comtech Telecommunicatio is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Comtech Telecommunicatio backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Comtech Telecommunicatio, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.10 | 5.05 | 0.23 | 0.09 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
5.56 | 5.33 | 4.14 |
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Comtech Telecommunicatio Hype Timeline
Comtech Telecommunicatio is currently traded for 5.56. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.23, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. Comtech is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 5.33. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -4.14%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.1%. The volatility of related hype on Comtech Telecommunicatio is about 6234.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.65. About 47.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 2.0. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Comtech Telecommunicatio has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.66. The entity recorded a loss per share of 2.33. The firm last dividend was issued on the 17th of January 2023. Comtech Telecommunicatio had 3:2 split on the 5th of April 2005. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Comtech Telecommunicatio to cross-verify your projections.Comtech Telecommunicatio Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Comtech Telecommunicatio's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Comtech Telecommunicatio's future price movements. Getting to know how Comtech Telecommunicatio's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Comtech Telecommunicatio may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SILC | Silicom | (0.35) | 7 per month | 3.41 | 0.03 | 5.23 | (5.02) | 18.46 | |
| AMPG | Amplitech Group | (0.24) | 10 per month | 5.19 | (0.01) | 11.28 | (8.88) | 31.09 | |
| CMBM | Cambium Networks Corp | 0.31 | 17 per month | 7.34 | 0.11 | 27.12 | (13.22) | 407.58 | |
| VELO | Velo3D | 0.31 | 7 per month | 8.94 | 0.13 | 23.12 | (14.49) | 74.12 | |
| MLGO | MicroAlgo | 0.12 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 8.69 | (10.15) | 24.69 | |
| LINK | Interlink Electronics | (0.28) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 7.09 | (8.24) | 23.00 | |
| KVHI | KVH Industries | 0.56 | 8 per month | 2.17 | 0.07 | 5.24 | (3.41) | 14.76 | |
| RCT | RedCloud Holdings plc | 0.02 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 8.76 | (8.98) | 25.49 | |
| SLNH | Soluna Holdings | (0.27) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 16.25 | (13.09) | 41.38 | |
| MIND | Mind Technology | 0.63 | 9 per month | 6.77 | (0) | 8.99 | (9.24) | 37.32 |
Other Forecasting Options for Comtech Telecommunicatio
For every potential investor in Comtech, whether a beginner or expert, Comtech Telecommunicatio's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Comtech Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Comtech. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Comtech Telecommunicatio's price trends.Comtech Telecommunicatio Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Comtech Telecommunicatio stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Comtech Telecommunicatio could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Comtech Telecommunicatio by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Comtech Telecommunicatio Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Comtech Telecommunicatio stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Comtech Telecommunicatio shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Comtech Telecommunicatio stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Comtech Telecommunications Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Comtech Telecommunicatio Risk Indicators
The analysis of Comtech Telecommunicatio's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Comtech Telecommunicatio's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting comtech stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.71 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.7 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.06 | |||
| Variance | 25.6 | |||
| Downside Variance | 17.05 | |||
| Semi Variance | 13.7 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.62) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Comtech Telecommunicatio
The number of cover stories for Comtech Telecommunicatio depends on current market conditions and Comtech Telecommunicatio's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Comtech Telecommunicatio is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Comtech Telecommunicatio's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Comtech Telecommunicatio Short Properties
Comtech Telecommunicatio's future price predictability will typically decrease when Comtech Telecommunicatio's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Comtech Telecommunications Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Comtech Telecommunicatio's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Comtech Telecommunicatio's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 40 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Comtech Telecommunicatio to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Is Communications Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Comtech Telecommunicatio. Projected growth potential of Comtech fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Comtech Telecommunicatio assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 5.87 | Earnings Share (2.33) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Comtech Telecommunicatio is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Comtech that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Comtech Telecommunicatio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Comtech Telecommunicatio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Comtech Telecommunicatio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Comtech Telecommunicatio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Comtech Telecommunicatio's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Comtech Telecommunicatio should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Comtech Telecommunicatio's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.