Comtech Telecommunications Corp Stock Performance

CMTL Stock  USD 5.98  0.42  7.55%   
Comtech Telecommunicatio holds a performance score of 20 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.17, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Comtech Telecommunicatio will likely underperform. Use Comtech Telecommunicatio downside variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and accumulation distribution , to analyze future returns on Comtech Telecommunicatio.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Comtech Telecommunications Corp are ranked lower than 20 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite unsteady basic indicators, Comtech Telecommunicatio disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

Five Day Return
(7.33)
Year To Date Return
0.54
Ten Year Return
(69.96)
All Time Return
(18.83)
Last Split Factor
3:2
Dividend Date
2023-02-17
Ex Dividend Date
2023-01-17
Last Split Date
2005-04-05
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Disposition of 224 shares by Traub Kenneth of Comtech Telecommunicatio at 5.87 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/23/2026
9
Disposition of 1020 shares by Daniel Gizinski of Comtech Telecommunicatio subject to Rule 16b-3
01/30/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow32.4 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-8.6 M

Comtech Telecommunicatio Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  294.00  in Comtech Telecommunications Corp on November 5, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  304.00  from holding Comtech Telecommunications Corp or generate 103.4% return on investment over 90 days. Comtech Telecommunications Corp is currently generating 1.2985% in daily expected returns and assumes 5.1285% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 46% of stocks are less volatile than Comtech, and 74% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Comtech Telecommunicatio is expected to generate 6.8 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 6.8 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.25 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

Comtech Telecommunicatio Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Comtech Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 5.98 90 days 5.98 
about 6.37
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Comtech Telecommunicatio to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 6.37 (This Comtech Telecommunications Corp probability density function shows the probability of Comtech Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.17 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Comtech Telecommunicatio will likely underperform. Additionally Comtech Telecommunications Corp has an alpha of 0.9351, implying that it can generate a 0.94 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Comtech Telecommunicatio Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Comtech Telecommunicatio

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Comtech Telecommunicatio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Comtech Telecommunicatio's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.575.6410.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.435.5010.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.405.4610.53
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.466.006.66
Details

Comtech Telecommunicatio Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Comtech Telecommunicatio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Comtech Telecommunicatio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Comtech Telecommunications Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Comtech Telecommunicatio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.94
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.17
σ
Overall volatility
1.22
Ir
Information ratio 0.19

Comtech Telecommunicatio Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Comtech Telecommunicatio for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Comtech Telecommunicatio can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Comtech Telecommunicatio is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Comtech Telecommunicatio appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 499.53 M. Net Loss for the year was (155.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 150.12 M.
Comtech Telecommunications Corp currently holds about 21.65 M in cash with (8.29 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.78.
Comtech Telecommunicatio has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 224 shares by Traub Kenneth of Comtech Telecommunicatio at 5.87 subject to Rule 16b-3

Comtech Telecommunicatio Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Comtech Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Comtech Telecommunicatio's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Comtech Telecommunicatio's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding29.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments40 M

Comtech Telecommunicatio Fundamentals Growth

Comtech Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Comtech Telecommunicatio, and Comtech Telecommunicatio fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Comtech Stock performance.

About Comtech Telecommunicatio Performance

By examining Comtech Telecommunicatio's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Comtech Telecommunicatio's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Comtech Telecommunicatio is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 77.88  117.14 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.49)(0.47)
Return On Capital Employed(0.27)(0.26)
Return On Assets(0.24)(0.23)
Return On Equity(0.61)(0.58)

Things to note about Comtech Telecommunicatio performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Comtech Telecommunicatio for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Comtech Telecommunicatio help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Comtech Telecommunicatio is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Comtech Telecommunicatio appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 499.53 M. Net Loss for the year was (155.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 150.12 M.
Comtech Telecommunications Corp currently holds about 21.65 M in cash with (8.29 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.78.
Comtech Telecommunicatio has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 224 shares by Traub Kenneth of Comtech Telecommunicatio at 5.87 subject to Rule 16b-3
Evaluating Comtech Telecommunicatio's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Comtech Telecommunicatio's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Comtech Telecommunicatio's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Comtech Telecommunicatio's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Comtech Telecommunicatio's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Comtech Telecommunicatio's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Comtech Telecommunicatio's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Comtech Telecommunicatio's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Comtech Telecommunicatio's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Comtech Telecommunicatio's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Comtech Telecommunicatio's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Comtech Telecommunicatio is a strong investment it is important to analyze Comtech Telecommunicatio's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Comtech Telecommunicatio's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Comtech Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Comtech Telecommunications Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in child.
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Is Communications Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Comtech Telecommunicatio. Projected growth potential of Comtech fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Comtech Telecommunicatio assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
5.87
Earnings Share
(2.33)
Revenue Per Share
13.715
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
Return On Assets
0.0018
The market value of Comtech Telecommunicatio is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Comtech that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Comtech Telecommunicatio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Comtech Telecommunicatio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Comtech Telecommunicatio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Comtech Telecommunicatio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Comtech Telecommunicatio's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Comtech Telecommunicatio should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Comtech Telecommunicatio's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.