CK Asset Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

CNGKY Stock  USD 11.35  0.38  3.46%   
CNGKY Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of CK Asset's share price is at 57 suggesting that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling CK Asset, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 57

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of CK Asset's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CK Asset Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using CK Asset hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CK Asset Holdings from the perspective of CK Asset response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of CK Asset Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 11.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.11.

CK Asset after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 11.35  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CK Asset to cross-verify your projections.

CK Asset Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine CNGKY price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CNGKY using various technical indicators. When you analyze CNGKY charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for CK Asset is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of CK Asset Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

CK Asset Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of CK Asset Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 11.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.11.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CNGKY Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CK Asset's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CK Asset Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest CK Asset  CK Asset Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

CK Asset Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CK Asset's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CK Asset's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.58 and 13.99, respectively. We have considered CK Asset's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
11.35
11.29
Expected Value
13.99
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CK Asset pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CK Asset pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.1373
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1821
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0175
SAESum of the absolute errors11.1082
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of CK Asset Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict CK Asset. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for CK Asset

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CK Asset Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.6511.3514.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.2410.9413.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
9.9310.7211.50
Details

CK Asset After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of CK Asset at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CK Asset or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of CK Asset, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

CK Asset Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting CK Asset's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CK Asset's historical news coverage. CK Asset's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.65 and 14.05, respectively. We have considered CK Asset's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
11.35
11.35
After-hype Price
14.05
Upside
CK Asset is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CK Asset Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

CK Asset Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CK Asset is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CK Asset backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CK Asset, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.24 
2.70
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.35
11.35
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

CK Asset Hype Timeline

CK Asset Holdings is currently traded for 11.35. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. CNGKY is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.24%. %. The volatility of related hype on CK Asset is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.35. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.46. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. CK Asset Holdings last dividend was issued on the 2nd of September 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CK Asset to cross-verify your projections.

CK Asset Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to CK Asset's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CK Asset's future price movements. Getting to know how CK Asset's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CK Asset may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CAOVYChina Overseas Land 0.00 0 per month 3.47 (0.01) 4.80 (5.65) 17.12 
CAOVFChina Overseas Land 0.00 0 per month 1.24  0.03  0.00 (2.30) 31.80 
HLDCYHenderson Land Development 0.00 0 per month 1.74  0.02  3.42 (3.24) 9.12 
DWAHFDaiwa House Industry 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 0.00  0.00  19.38 
HLDVFHenderson Land 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.1  4.51 (1.32) 14.08 
DWAHYDaiwa House Industry 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09) 1.84 (1.99) 6.17 
SURDFSumitomo Realty Development 0.00 0 per month 14.11  0.09  99.95 (47.28) 152.34 
SWPFFSwire Properties Limited 0.00 0 per month 1.31  0.02  2.90 (2.84) 14.52 
VTWRFVantage Towers AG 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.01) 0.00  0.00  4.65 
HNGKYHong Kong Land 0.00 0 per month 1.75  0.16  4.83 (3.24) 10.67 

Other Forecasting Options for CK Asset

For every potential investor in CNGKY, whether a beginner or expert, CK Asset's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CNGKY Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CNGKY. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CK Asset's price trends.

CK Asset Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CK Asset pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CK Asset could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CK Asset by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CK Asset Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CK Asset pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CK Asset shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CK Asset pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify CK Asset Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CK Asset Risk Indicators

The analysis of CK Asset's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CK Asset's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cngky pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for CK Asset

The number of cover stories for CK Asset depends on current market conditions and CK Asset's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CK Asset is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CK Asset's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Additional Tools for CNGKY Pink Sheet Analysis

When running CK Asset's price analysis, check to measure CK Asset's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CK Asset is operating at the current time. Most of CK Asset's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CK Asset's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CK Asset's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CK Asset to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.