CK Asset Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

CNGKY Stock  USD 9.94  0.24  2.36%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CK Asset Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 9.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.94. CNGKY Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
CK Asset simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for CK Asset Holdings are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as CK Asset Holdings prices get older.

CK Asset Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CK Asset Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 9.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.94.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CNGKY Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CK Asset's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CK Asset Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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CK Asset Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CK Asset's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CK Asset's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.47 and 12.45, respectively. We have considered CK Asset's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
9.94
9.96
Expected Value
12.45
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CK Asset pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CK Asset pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.3013
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0073
MADMean absolute deviation0.1957
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0193
SAESum of the absolute errors11.9353
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting CK Asset Holdings forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent CK Asset observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for CK Asset

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CK Asset Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.379.9412.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.429.9912.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
9.7810.2010.62
Details

Other Forecasting Options for CK Asset

For every potential investor in CNGKY, whether a beginner or expert, CK Asset's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CNGKY Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CNGKY. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CK Asset's price trends.

CK Asset Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CK Asset pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CK Asset could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CK Asset by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CK Asset Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CK Asset's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CK Asset's current price.

CK Asset Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CK Asset pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CK Asset shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CK Asset pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify CK Asset Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CK Asset Risk Indicators

The analysis of CK Asset's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CK Asset's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cngky pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for CNGKY Pink Sheet Analysis

When running CK Asset's price analysis, check to measure CK Asset's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CK Asset is operating at the current time. Most of CK Asset's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CK Asset's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CK Asset's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CK Asset to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.