China Health Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

CNHC Stock  USD 0.01  0.0006  10.91%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of China Health Management on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0001 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01. China Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast China Health stock prices and determine the direction of China Health Management's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of China Health's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
China Health simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for China Health Management are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as China Health Management prices get older.

China Health Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of China Health Management on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0001, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000058, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict China Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that China Health's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

China Health Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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China Health Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting China Health's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. China Health's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000061 and 8.61, respectively. We have considered China Health's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.01
0.000061
Downside
0.01
Expected Value
8.61
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of China Health pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent China Health pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria101.9127
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation1.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0291
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0077
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting China Health Management forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent China Health observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for China Health

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Health Management. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
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0.000.018.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.018.62
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Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as China Health. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against China Health's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, China Health's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in China Health Management.

Other Forecasting Options for China Health

For every potential investor in China, whether a beginner or expert, China Health's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. China Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in China. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying China Health's price trends.

China Health Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with China Health pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of China Health could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing China Health by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

China Health Management Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of China Health's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of China Health's current price.

China Health Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how China Health pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading China Health shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying China Health pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify China Health Management entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

China Health Risk Indicators

The analysis of China Health's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in China Health's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting china pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in China Pink Sheet

China Health financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Health security.