CNX Resources Stock Forward View
| CNX Stock | USD 38.80 1.20 3.19% |
CNX Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The value of relative strength index of CNX Resources' share price is at 58 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling CNX Resources, making its price go up or down. Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.25 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3831 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.7562 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.2554 | Wall Street Target Price 36.0714 |
Using CNX Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CNX Resources Corp from the perspective of CNX Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CNX Resources using CNX Resources' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CNX using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CNX Resources' stock price.
CNX Resources Short Interest
An investor who is long CNX Resources may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about CNX Resources and may potentially protect profits, hedge CNX Resources with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 33.137 | Short Percent 0.1774 | Short Ratio 8.44 | Shares Short Prior Month 28.8 M | 50 Day MA 37.5348 |
CNX Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of CNX Resources Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 38.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.60.CNX Resources Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to CNX Resources' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in CNX. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CNX can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CNX Resources Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of CNX Resources' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about CNX Resources.
CNX Resources Implied Volatility | 0.46 |
CNX Resources' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CNX Resources Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CNX Resources' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CNX Resources stock will not fluctuate a lot when CNX Resources' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of CNX Resources Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 38.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.60. CNX Resources after-hype prediction price | USD 38.93 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CNX Resources to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current CNX contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that CNX Resources Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0288% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With CNX Resources trading at USD 38.8, that is roughly USD 0.0112 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating CNX Resources' daily price movement you should consider acquiring CNX Resources Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.46%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 CNX Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast CNX Resources' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in CNX Resources' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for CNX Resources stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current CNX Resources' open interest, investors have to compare it to CNX Resources' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of CNX Resources is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in CNX. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
CNX Resources Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CNX price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CNX using various technical indicators. When you analyze CNX charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the CNX Resources' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1999-03-31 | Previous Quarter 4.7 M | Current Value 779 K | Quarterly Volatility 209.9 M |
CNX Resources Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of CNX Resources Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 38.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61, mean absolute percentage error of 0.57, and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.60.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CNX Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CNX Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CNX Resources Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CNX Resources | CNX Resources Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
CNX Resources Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CNX Resources' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CNX Resources' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 37.01 and 40.75, respectively. We have considered CNX Resources' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CNX Resources stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CNX Resources stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.3885 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6065 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0161 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 37.6027 |
Predictive Modules for CNX Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CNX Resources Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CNX Resources After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CNX Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CNX Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CNX Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CNX Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CNX Resources' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CNX Resources' historical news coverage. CNX Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 37.06 and 40.80, respectively. We have considered CNX Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CNX Resources is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CNX Resources Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
CNX Resources Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CNX Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CNX Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CNX Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 1.87 | 0.13 | 0.11 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
38.80 | 38.93 | 0.34 |
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CNX Resources Hype Timeline
On the 31st of January CNX Resources Corp is traded for 38.80. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.11. CNX is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 38.93 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.34%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on CNX Resources is about 346.94%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 38.69. The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.35 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (90.49 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.68 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CNX Resources to cross-verify your projections.CNX Resources Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CNX Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CNX Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how CNX Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CNX Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CHRD | Chord Energy Corp | (1.18) | 10 per month | 2.05 | 0.04 | 3.53 | (3.61) | 9.20 | |
| MTDR | Matador Resources | (0.52) | 11 per month | 2.00 | 0.08 | 3.10 | (4.01) | 9.03 | |
| VIST | Vista Oil Gas | (1.66) | 9 per month | 1.80 | 0.19 | 6.03 | (3.43) | 23.65 | |
| NE | Noble plc | 0.31 | 8 per month | 1.86 | 0.1 | 4.36 | (2.86) | 13.91 | |
| TGS | Transportadora de Gas | (0.82) | 10 per month | 1.21 | 0.13 | 4.52 | (2.66) | 40.09 | |
| MGY | Magnolia Oil Gas | (0.22) | 10 per month | 1.61 | 0.06 | 2.65 | (2.81) | 6.10 | |
| SOBO | South Bow | (0.30) | 8 per month | 1.31 | 0.08 | 2.27 | (2.41) | 8.35 | |
| FRO | Frontline | 0.52 | 10 per month | 2.31 | 0.11 | 3.67 | (3.95) | 13.55 | |
| MUR | Murphy Oil | 0.79 | 9 per month | 2.66 | 0.04 | 3.97 | (3.78) | 19.80 | |
| WFRD | Weatherford International plc | (2.31) | 10 per month | 1.79 | 0.16 | 3.82 | (3.38) | 13.20 |
Other Forecasting Options for CNX Resources
For every potential investor in CNX, whether a beginner or expert, CNX Resources' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CNX Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CNX. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CNX Resources' price trends.CNX Resources Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CNX Resources stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CNX Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CNX Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CNX Resources Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CNX Resources stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CNX Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CNX Resources stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CNX Resources Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
CNX Resources Risk Indicators
The analysis of CNX Resources' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CNX Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cnx stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.54 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.59 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.87 | |||
| Variance | 3.5 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.93 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.52 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.86) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CNX Resources
The number of cover stories for CNX Resources depends on current market conditions and CNX Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CNX Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CNX Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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CNX Resources Short Properties
CNX Resources' future price predictability will typically decrease when CNX Resources' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CNX Resources Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CNX Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CNX Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 151.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 17.2 M |
Additional Tools for CNX Stock Analysis
When running CNX Resources' price analysis, check to measure CNX Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CNX Resources is operating at the current time. Most of CNX Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CNX Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CNX Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CNX Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.