Coda Octopus Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| CODA Stock | USD 12.47 1.00 8.72% |
Coda Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Coda Octopus stock prices and determine the direction of Coda Octopus Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Coda Octopus' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Coda Octopus' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.127 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.47 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.52 | Wall Street Target Price 11 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.07 |
Using Coda Octopus hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Coda Octopus Group from the perspective of Coda Octopus response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Coda Octopus Group on the next trading day is expected to be 11.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.27. Coda Octopus after-hype prediction price | USD 12.23 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Coda Octopus to cross-verify your projections. Coda Octopus Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Coda price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Coda using various technical indicators. When you analyze Coda charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Coda Octopus Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 11th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Coda Octopus Group on the next trading day is expected to be 11.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34, mean absolute percentage error of 0.24, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.27.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Coda Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Coda Octopus' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Coda Octopus Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Coda Octopus | Coda Octopus Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Coda Octopus Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Coda Octopus' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Coda Octopus' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.46 and 15.72, respectively. We have considered Coda Octopus' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Coda Octopus stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Coda Octopus stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.5337 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.343 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.034 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 21.266 |
Predictive Modules for Coda Octopus
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coda Octopus Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Coda Octopus' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Coda Octopus After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Coda Octopus at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Coda Octopus or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Coda Octopus, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Coda Octopus Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Coda Octopus' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Coda Octopus' historical news coverage. Coda Octopus' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.10 and 16.36, respectively. We have considered Coda Octopus' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Coda Octopus is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Coda Octopus Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Coda Octopus Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Coda Octopus is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Coda Octopus backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Coda Octopus, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.71 | 4.13 | 0.24 | 0.12 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
12.47 | 12.23 | 1.92 |
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Coda Octopus Hype Timeline
Coda Octopus Group is currently traded for 12.47. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.24, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.12. Coda is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 12.23. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.92%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.71%. The volatility of related hype on Coda Octopus is about 2401.16%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.35. About 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Coda Octopus was currently reported as 5.16. The company last dividend was issued on the 11th of January 2017. Coda Octopus Group had 1:14 split on the 11th of January 2017. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Coda Octopus to cross-verify your projections.Coda Octopus Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Coda Octopus' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Coda Octopus' future price movements. Getting to know how Coda Octopus' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Coda Octopus may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OPXS | Optex Systems Holdings | (1.08) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.44 | (6.22) | 19.02 | |
| SPAI | Safe Pro Group | 0.08 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 11.01 | (12.20) | 35.33 | |
| ULBI | Ultralife | (0.13) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.84 | (6.24) | 19.06 | |
| SNT | Senstar Technologies | 0.07 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 7.06 | (7.90) | 27.00 | |
| HOVR | New Horizon Aircraft | 0.07 | 9 per month | 6.86 | 0 | 11.84 | (9.09) | 29.09 | |
| HQI | Hirequest | (0.21) | 9 per month | 2.57 | 0.09 | 8.40 | (5.16) | 23.30 | |
| ESP | Espey Mfg Electronics | 0.15 | 8 per month | 1.61 | 0.25 | 5.42 | (3.02) | 10.96 | |
| EGG | ENIGMATIG LIMITED | (0.98) | 15 per month | 4.77 | 0.10 | 10.44 | (8.84) | 25.46 | |
| TUSK | Mammoth Energy Services | 0.11 | 9 per month | 3.18 | 0.06 | 7.65 | (5.13) | 27.95 | |
| MIMI | Mint Incorporation Limited | 0.20 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 18.92 | (16.36) | 96.53 |
Other Forecasting Options for Coda Octopus
For every potential investor in Coda, whether a beginner or expert, Coda Octopus' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Coda Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Coda. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Coda Octopus' price trends.Coda Octopus Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Coda Octopus stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Coda Octopus could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Coda Octopus by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Coda Octopus Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Coda Octopus stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Coda Octopus shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Coda Octopus stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Coda Octopus Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 27721.74 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.7692 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.09 | |||
| Day Median Price | 12.25 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 12.32 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.72 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.0 |
Coda Octopus Risk Indicators
The analysis of Coda Octopus' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Coda Octopus' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting coda stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.84 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.7 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.04 | |||
| Variance | 16.3 | |||
| Downside Variance | 10.28 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.31 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.11) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Coda Octopus
The number of cover stories for Coda Octopus depends on current market conditions and Coda Octopus' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Coda Octopus is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Coda Octopus' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Coda Octopus Short Properties
Coda Octopus' future price predictability will typically decrease when Coda Octopus' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Coda Octopus Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Coda Octopus' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Coda Octopus' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 28.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Coda Octopus to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Coda Octopus. Projected growth potential of Coda fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Coda Octopus assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.127 | Earnings Share 0.37 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.438 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Coda Octopus Group requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Coda's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Coda Octopus' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Coda Octopus' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Coda Octopus' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Coda Octopus should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Coda Octopus' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.