Codan Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

CODAFDelisted Stock  USD 7.30  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Codan Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 7.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.73. Codan Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Codan's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Codan is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Codan Limited value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Codan Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Codan Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 7.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.73.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Codan Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Codan's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Codan Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Codan pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Codan pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.1555
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0283
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0038
SAESum of the absolute errors1.7275
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Codan Limited. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Codan. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Codan

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Codan Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.307.307.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.286.288.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Codan. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Codan's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Codan's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Codan Limited.

View Codan Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Codan Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Codan pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Codan shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Codan pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Codan Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Codan Risk Indicators

The analysis of Codan's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Codan's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting codan pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.

Other Consideration for investing in Codan Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Codan Limited check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Codan's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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