Codan Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

CODAF Stock  USD 22.34  2.34  11.70%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Codan Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 21.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.49. Codan Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Codan's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Codan's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Codan's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Codan and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Codan's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Codan Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Codan hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Codan Limited from the perspective of Codan response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Codan Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 21.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.49.

Codan after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 22.34  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Codan to cross-verify your projections.

Codan Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Codan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Codan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Codan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Codan price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Codan Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Codan Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 21.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88, mean absolute percentage error of 1.28, and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.49.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Codan Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Codan's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Codan Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest CodanCodan Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Codan Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Codan's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Codan's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.94 and 24.05, respectively. We have considered Codan's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
22.34
21.49
Expected Value
24.05
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Codan pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Codan pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.1956
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.8789
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0402
SAESum of the absolute errors54.492
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Codan Limited historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Codan

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Codan Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.7922.3424.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.3223.8726.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
19.2422.4325.62
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Codan. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Codan's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Codan's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Codan Limited.

Codan After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Codan at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Codan or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Codan, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Codan Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Codan's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Codan's historical news coverage. Codan's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.79 and 24.89, respectively. We have considered Codan's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
22.34
22.34
After-hype Price
24.89
Upside
Codan is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Codan Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.

Codan Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Codan is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Codan backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Codan, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.07 
2.55
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
22.34
22.34
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Codan Hype Timeline

Codan Limited is currently traded for 22.34. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Codan is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Codan is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.34. About 46.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.95. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Codan Limited last dividend was issued on the 25th of August 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Codan to cross-verify your projections.

Codan Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Codan's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Codan's future price movements. Getting to know how Codan's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Codan may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Codan

For every potential investor in Codan, whether a beginner or expert, Codan's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Codan Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Codan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Codan's price trends.

Codan Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Codan pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Codan could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Codan by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Codan Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Codan pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Codan shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Codan pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Codan Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Codan Risk Indicators

The analysis of Codan's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Codan's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting codan pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Codan

The number of cover stories for Codan depends on current market conditions and Codan's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Codan is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Codan's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Codan Pink Sheet

Codan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Codan Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Codan with respect to the benefits of owning Codan security.