51Talk Online Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| COE Stock | USD 27.44 0.16 0.58% |
51Talk Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast 51Talk Online stock prices and determine the direction of 51Talk Online Education's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of 51Talk Online's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of 51Talk Online's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.16 | Wall Street Target Price 7.94 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.875 |
Using 51Talk Online hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of 51Talk Online Education from the perspective of 51Talk Online response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of 51Talk Online Education on the next trading day is expected to be 27.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.53. 51Talk Online after-hype prediction price | USD 27.69 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of 51Talk Online to cross-verify your projections. 51Talk Online Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine 51Talk price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for 51Talk using various technical indicators. When you analyze 51Talk charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
51Talk Online Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 14th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of 51Talk Online Education on the next trading day is expected to be 27.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.81, mean absolute percentage error of 1.80, and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.53.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict 51Talk Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that 51Talk Online's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
51Talk Online Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest 51Talk Online | 51Talk Online Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
51Talk Online Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting 51Talk Online's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. 51Talk Online's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 23.48 and 31.43, respectively. We have considered 51Talk Online's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of 51Talk Online stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent 51Talk Online stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.7007 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.3406 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8119 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0254 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 49.5281 |
Predictive Modules for 51Talk Online
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 51Talk Online Education. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.51Talk Online After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of 51Talk Online at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in 51Talk Online or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of 51Talk Online, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
51Talk Online Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting 51Talk Online's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on 51Talk Online's historical news coverage. 51Talk Online's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.75 and 31.63, respectively. We have considered 51Talk Online's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
51Talk Online is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of 51Talk Online Education is based on 3 months time horizon.
51Talk Online Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as 51Talk Online is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading 51Talk Online backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with 51Talk Online, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.64 | 3.97 | 0.26 | 0.23 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
27.44 | 27.69 | 0.91 |
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51Talk Online Hype Timeline
On the 13th of February 2026 51Talk Online Education is traded for 27.44. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.26, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.23. 51Talk is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 27.69 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is forecasted to be 0.91%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.64%. The volatility of related hype on 51Talk Online is about 1087.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.67. The company reported the last year's revenue of 50.69 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (7.32 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 61.14 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of 51Talk Online to cross-verify your projections.51Talk Online Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to 51Talk Online's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict 51Talk Online's future price movements. Getting to know how 51Talk Online's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how 51Talk Online may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FIZZ | National Beverage Corp | 0.32 | 9 per month | 1.33 | 0.04 | 2.94 | (2.38) | 7.52 | |
| PRDO | Perdoceo Education Corp | 0.67 | 9 per month | 1.60 | (0.02) | 2.71 | (2.56) | 11.37 | |
| IPAR | Inter Parfums | 1.06 | 9 per month | 1.67 | 0.09 | 2.62 | (2.27) | 8.82 | |
| RLX | RLX Technology | (0.03) | 6 per month | 1.55 | 0.01 | 3.15 | (3.17) | 13.76 | |
| MH | McGraw Hill | 0.50 | 11 per month | 3.12 | 0.08 | 6.25 | (4.78) | 34.91 | |
| TBBB | BBB Foods | 0.01 | 7 per month | 2.23 | 0.18 | 4.52 | (2.84) | 13.34 | |
| FLO | Flowers Foods | 0.17 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.21 | (3.71) | 11.13 | |
| COTY | Coty Inc | 0.22 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.95 | (4.29) | 24.10 |
Other Forecasting Options for 51Talk Online
For every potential investor in 51Talk, whether a beginner or expert, 51Talk Online's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 51Talk Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 51Talk. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying 51Talk Online's price trends.51Talk Online Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with 51Talk Online stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of 51Talk Online could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing 51Talk Online by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
51Talk Online Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how 51Talk Online stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading 51Talk Online shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying 51Talk Online stock market strength indicators, traders can identify 51Talk Online Education entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
51Talk Online Risk Indicators
The analysis of 51Talk Online's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in 51Talk Online's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting 51talk stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.44 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.82 | |||
| Variance | 14.57 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for 51Talk Online
The number of cover stories for 51Talk Online depends on current market conditions and 51Talk Online's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that 51Talk Online is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about 51Talk Online's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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51Talk Online Short Properties
51Talk Online's future price predictability will typically decrease when 51Talk Online's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of 51Talk Online Education often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential 51Talk Online's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. 51Talk Online's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 96.4 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 29.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of 51Talk Online to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Will Diversified Consumer Services sector continue expanding? Could 51Talk diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of 51Talk Online. Projected growth potential of 51Talk fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every 51Talk Online data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.16 | Earnings Share (1.80) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.875 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate 51Talk Online Education using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating 51Talk Online's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause 51Talk Online's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between 51Talk Online's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding 51Talk Online should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, 51Talk Online's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.