Croda International Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| COIHY Stock | USD 22.46 0.19 0.84% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Croda International PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 22.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.75. Croda Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
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Croda International Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Croda International PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 22.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41, mean absolute percentage error of 0.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.75.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Croda Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Croda International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Croda International Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Croda International Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Croda International's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Croda International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 20.46 and 24.46, respectively. We have considered Croda International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Croda International pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Croda International pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.9393 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0528 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4125 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0163 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 24.75 |
Predictive Modules for Croda International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Croda International PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Croda International
For every potential investor in Croda, whether a beginner or expert, Croda International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Croda Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Croda. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Croda International's price trends.View Croda International Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Croda International PLC Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Croda International's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Croda International's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Croda International Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Croda International pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Croda International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Croda International pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Croda International PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Croda International Risk Indicators
The analysis of Croda International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Croda International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting croda pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.0 | |||
| Variance | 3.99 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Croda Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Croda International's price analysis, check to measure Croda International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Croda International is operating at the current time. Most of Croda International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Croda International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Croda International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Croda International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.