Americold Realty Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| COLD Stock | USD 12.41 0.03 0.24% |
Americold Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Americold Realty stock prices and determine the direction of Americold Realty Trust's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Americold Realty's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Americold Realty's share price is approaching 46 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Americold Realty, making its price go up or down. Momentum 46
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.67) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.08 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.04) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.17 | Wall Street Target Price 14.8 |
Using Americold Realty hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Americold Realty Trust from the perspective of Americold Realty response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Americold Realty using Americold Realty's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Americold using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Americold Realty's stock price.
Americold Realty Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Americold Realty's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Americold. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Americold Realty stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 14.7083 | Short Percent 0.1165 | Short Ratio 4.69 | Shares Short Prior Month 25.6 M | 50 Day MA 12.164 |
Americold Relative Strength Index
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Americold Realty Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 11.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.90.Americold Realty Trust Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Americold Realty's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Americold. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Americold can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Americold Realty Trust. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Americold Realty's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Americold Realty.
Americold Realty Implied Volatility | 0.92 |
Americold Realty's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Americold Realty Trust stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Americold Realty's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Americold Realty stock will not fluctuate a lot when Americold Realty's options are near their expiration.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Americold Realty Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 11.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.90. Americold Realty after-hype prediction price | USD 12.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Americold contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Americold Realty Trust will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0575% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Americold Realty trading at USD 12.41, that is roughly USD 0.007136 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Americold Realty's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Americold Realty Trust options at the current volatility level of 0.92%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Americold Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Americold Realty's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Americold Realty's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Americold Realty stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Americold Realty's open interest, investors have to compare it to Americold Realty's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Americold Realty is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Americold. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Americold Realty Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Americold price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Americold using various technical indicators. When you analyze Americold charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Americold Realty Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Americold Realty Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 11.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.90.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Americold Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Americold Realty's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Americold Realty Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Americold Realty | Americold Realty Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Americold Realty Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Americold Realty's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Americold Realty's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.03 and 14.35, respectively. We have considered Americold Realty's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Americold Realty stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Americold Realty stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.7797 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2404 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0203 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 14.9028 |
Predictive Modules for Americold Realty
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Americold Realty Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Americold Realty After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Americold Realty at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Americold Realty or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Americold Realty, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Americold Realty Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Americold Realty's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Americold Realty's historical news coverage. Americold Realty's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.75 and 15.07, respectively. We have considered Americold Realty's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Americold Realty is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Americold Realty Trust is based on 3 months time horizon.
Americold Realty Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Americold Realty is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Americold Realty backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Americold Realty, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 2.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
12.41 | 12.41 | 0.00 |
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Americold Realty Hype Timeline
Americold Realty Trust is currently traded for 12.41. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Americold is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Americold Realty is about 2370.3%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.41. About 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.15. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Americold Realty Trust has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 263.36. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.22. The firm last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. Americold Realty had 1:1 split on the 26th of May 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Americold Realty to cross-verify your projections.Americold Realty Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Americold Realty's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Americold Realty's future price movements. Getting to know how Americold Realty's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Americold Realty may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EGP | EastGroup Properties | (1.76) | 9 per month | 0.89 | (0.01) | 1.84 | (1.52) | 4.78 | |
| FR | First Industrial Realty | 0.19 | 9 per month | 0.80 | 0.01 | 1.93 | (1.43) | 4.65 | |
| PLYM | Plymouth Industrial REIT | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 0.63 | (0.59) | 5.25 | |
| LXP | LXP Industrial Trust | (0.18) | 8 per month | 1.38 | 0.01 | 2.06 | (2.53) | 7.32 | |
| REXR | Rexford Industrial Realty | 0.25 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.30 | (1.96) | 6.35 | |
| TRNO | Terreno Realty | (0.14) | 12 per month | 1.29 | (0.02) | 2.22 | (2.35) | 5.89 | |
| INVH | Invitation Homes | 0.06 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.16 | (2.24) | 9.44 | |
| ELS | Equity Lifestyle Properties | 0.65 | 10 per month | 0.97 | (0.01) | 2.11 | (1.69) | 4.37 | |
| AMH | American Homes 4 | (0.09) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.00 | (2.29) | 7.05 |
Other Forecasting Options for Americold Realty
For every potential investor in Americold, whether a beginner or expert, Americold Realty's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Americold Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Americold. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Americold Realty's price trends.Americold Realty Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Americold Realty stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Americold Realty could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Americold Realty by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Americold Realty Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Americold Realty stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Americold Realty shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Americold Realty stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Americold Realty Trust entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Americold Realty Risk Indicators
The analysis of Americold Realty's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Americold Realty's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting americold stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.03 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.77 | |||
| Variance | 7.69 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Americold Realty
The number of cover stories for Americold Realty depends on current market conditions and Americold Realty's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Americold Realty is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Americold Realty's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Americold Realty Short Properties
Americold Realty's future price predictability will typically decrease when Americold Realty's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Americold Realty Trust often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Americold Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Americold Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 284.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 47.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Americold Realty to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Will Diversified REITs sector continue expanding? Could Americold diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Americold Realty. Projected growth potential of Americold fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Americold Realty data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.67) | Dividend Share 0.91 | Earnings Share (0.22) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
The market value of Americold Realty Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Americold that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Americold Realty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Americold Realty's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Americold Realty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Americold Realty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Americold Realty's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Americold Realty should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Americold Realty's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.