Cooper Companies Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

COO Stock  MXN 2,040  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of The Cooper Companies on the next trading day is expected to be 2,059 with a mean absolute deviation of 24.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,487. Cooper Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Cooper Companies is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of The Cooper Companies value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Cooper Companies Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of The Cooper Companies on the next trading day is expected to be 2,059 with a mean absolute deviation of 24.38, mean absolute percentage error of 1,024, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,487.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cooper Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cooper Companies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cooper Companies Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Cooper CompaniesCooper Companies Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Cooper Companies Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cooper Companies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cooper Companies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2,057 and 2,061, respectively. We have considered Cooper Companies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2,040
2,059
Expected Value
2,061
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cooper Companies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cooper Companies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria125.0422
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation24.3818
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0118
SAESum of the absolute errors1487.2893
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of The Cooper Companies. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Cooper Companies. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Cooper Companies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cooper Companies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,0382,0402,042
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,0082,0102,244
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Cooper Companies

For every potential investor in Cooper, whether a beginner or expert, Cooper Companies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cooper Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cooper. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cooper Companies' price trends.

Cooper Companies Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cooper Companies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cooper Companies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cooper Companies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cooper Companies Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cooper Companies' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cooper Companies' current price.

Cooper Companies Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cooper Companies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cooper Companies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cooper Companies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify The Cooper Companies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cooper Companies Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cooper Companies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cooper Companies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cooper stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Cooper Stock Analysis

When running Cooper Companies' price analysis, check to measure Cooper Companies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cooper Companies is operating at the current time. Most of Cooper Companies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cooper Companies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cooper Companies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cooper Companies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.