Cooper Companies Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

COO Stock  MXN 1,480  34.80  2.30%   
Cooper Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time The value of RSI of Cooper Companies' share price is above 80 suggesting that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 98

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Cooper Companies' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with The Cooper Companies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Cooper Companies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The Cooper Companies from the perspective of Cooper Companies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Cooper Companies after-hype prediction price

    
  MXN 1479.6  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cooper Companies to cross-verify your projections.

Cooper Companies Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Cooper price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cooper using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cooper charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Cooper Companies simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for The Cooper Companies are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Cooper Companies prices get older.

Cooper Companies Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 21st of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of The Cooper Companies on the next trading day is expected to be 1,480 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.44, mean absolute percentage error of 301.39, and the sum of the absolute errors of 266.20.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cooper Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cooper Companies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cooper Companies Stock Forecast Pattern

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Cooper Companies Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cooper Companies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cooper Companies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,478 and 1,481, respectively. We have considered Cooper Companies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1,480
1,480
Expected Value
1,481
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cooper Companies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cooper Companies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.981
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -3.2433
MADMean absolute deviation4.4367
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0031
SAESum of the absolute errors266.2
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting The Cooper Companies forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Cooper Companies observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Cooper Companies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cooper Companies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,4781,4801,481
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,4381,4401,628
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
1,4581,4901,521
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Cooper Companies

For every potential investor in Cooper, whether a beginner or expert, Cooper Companies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cooper Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cooper. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cooper Companies' price trends.

Cooper Companies Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cooper Companies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cooper Companies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cooper Companies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cooper Companies Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cooper Companies' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cooper Companies' current price.

Cooper Companies Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cooper Companies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cooper Companies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cooper Companies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify The Cooper Companies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cooper Companies Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cooper Companies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cooper Companies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cooper stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Cooper Stock Analysis

When running Cooper Companies' price analysis, check to measure Cooper Companies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cooper Companies is operating at the current time. Most of Cooper Companies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cooper Companies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cooper Companies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cooper Companies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.