Compugroup Medical Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

COP Stock  EUR 14.02  1.02  6.78%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Compugroup Medical SE on the next trading day is expected to be 14.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.47. Compugroup Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Compugroup Medical's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Compugroup Medical is based on an artificially constructed time series of Compugroup Medical daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Compugroup Medical 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Compugroup Medical SE on the next trading day is expected to be 14.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39, mean absolute percentage error of 0.24, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.47.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Compugroup Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Compugroup Medical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Compugroup Medical Stock Forecast Pattern

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Compugroup Medical Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Compugroup Medical's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Compugroup Medical's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.47 and 16.84, respectively. We have considered Compugroup Medical's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
14.02
14.16
Expected Value
16.84
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Compugroup Medical stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Compugroup Medical stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria101.9679
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0104
MADMean absolute deviation0.3862
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0273
SAESum of the absolute errors20.4688
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Compugroup Medical SE 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Compugroup Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Compugroup Medical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.3414.0216.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.4214.1016.78
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Compugroup Medical

For every potential investor in Compugroup, whether a beginner or expert, Compugroup Medical's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Compugroup Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Compugroup. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Compugroup Medical's price trends.

Compugroup Medical Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Compugroup Medical stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Compugroup Medical could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Compugroup Medical by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Compugroup Medical Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Compugroup Medical's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Compugroup Medical's current price.

Compugroup Medical Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Compugroup Medical stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Compugroup Medical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Compugroup Medical stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Compugroup Medical SE entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Compugroup Medical Risk Indicators

The analysis of Compugroup Medical's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Compugroup Medical's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting compugroup stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Compugroup Stock

Compugroup Medical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Compugroup Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Compugroup with respect to the benefits of owning Compugroup Medical security.