Cencora Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| COR Stock | USD 353.48 1.01 0.29% |
Cencora Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Cencora's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Cencora's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Cencora fundamentals over time.
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of Cencora's share price is at 57 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Cencora, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.455 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 4.0578 | EPS Estimate Current Year 17.6014 | EPS Estimate Next Year 19.4955 | Wall Street Target Price 396.8 |
Using Cencora hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cencora from the perspective of Cencora response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Cencora using Cencora's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Cencora using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Cencora's stock price.
Cencora Short Interest
An investor who is long Cencora may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Cencora and may potentially protect profits, hedge Cencora with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 311.5341 | Short Percent 0.0447 | Short Ratio 3.47 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.6 M | 50 Day MA 349.5154 |
Cencora Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Cencora on the next trading day is expected to be 353.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.92 and the sum of the absolute errors of 231.20.Cencora Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Cencora's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Cencora. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Cencora can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Cencora. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Cencora's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Cencora.
Cencora Implied Volatility | 0.38 |
Cencora's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Cencora stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cencora's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Cencora stock will not fluctuate a lot when Cencora's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Cencora on the next trading day is expected to be 353.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.92 and the sum of the absolute errors of 231.20. Cencora after-hype prediction price | USD 353.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cencora to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Cencora contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Cencora will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0238% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Cencora trading at USD 353.48, that is roughly USD 0.084 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Cencora's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Cencora options at the current volatility level of 0.38%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Cencora Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Cencora's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Cencora's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Cencora stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Cencora's open interest, investors have to compare it to Cencora's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Cencora is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Cencora. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Cencora Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cencora price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cencora using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cencora charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Cencora Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Cencora on the next trading day is expected to be 353.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.92, mean absolute percentage error of 28.99, and the sum of the absolute errors of 231.20.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cencora Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cencora's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cencora Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Cencora | Cencora Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Cencora Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Cencora's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cencora's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 352.23 and 354.73, respectively. We have considered Cencora's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cencora stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cencora stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.8017 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.5094 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.9186 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0112 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 231.195 |
Predictive Modules for Cencora
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cencora. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cencora After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cencora at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cencora or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cencora, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cencora Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cencora's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cencora's historical news coverage. Cencora's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 352.24 and 354.72, respectively. We have considered Cencora's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cencora is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cencora is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cencora Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cencora is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cencora backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cencora, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 1.25 | 0.54 | 0.02 | 12 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
353.48 | 353.48 | 0.00 |
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Cencora Hype Timeline
On the 26th of January Cencora is traded for 353.48. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.54, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Cencora is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 22.98%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on Cencora is about 560.54%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 353.50. About 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.84. Cencora recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.95. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of November 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 16th of June 2009. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cencora to cross-verify your projections.Cencora Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cencora's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cencora's future price movements. Getting to know how Cencora's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cencora may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GALNF | Galenica AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 39.53 | |
| PDCO | Patterson Companies | 0.02 | 7 per month | 0.18 | (0.20) | 0.26 | (0.22) | 1.58 | |
| ARHCF | Alfresa Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MLTO | MEDirect Latino | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TGVN | TGC Ventures International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CAKFY | McKesson Europe AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CVET | Covetrus | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SGIPF | Sugi Holdings CoLtd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CQCQ | MakingORG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BDX | Becton Dickinson and | 2.21 | 6 per month | 0.94 | 0.02 | 2.93 | (1.77) | 6.92 |
Other Forecasting Options for Cencora
For every potential investor in Cencora, whether a beginner or expert, Cencora's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cencora Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cencora. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cencora's price trends.Cencora Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cencora stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cencora could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cencora by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cencora Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cencora stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cencora shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cencora stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cencora entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Cencora Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cencora's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cencora's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cencora stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8816 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Variance | 1.48 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.07 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.66 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.87) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Cencora
The number of cover stories for Cencora depends on current market conditions and Cencora's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cencora is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cencora's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Cencora Short Properties
Cencora's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cencora's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cencora often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cencora's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cencora's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 195.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.4 B |
Additional Tools for Cencora Stock Analysis
When running Cencora's price analysis, check to measure Cencora's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cencora is operating at the current time. Most of Cencora's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cencora's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cencora's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cencora to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.