Core Scientific Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

CORZ Stock  USD 18.79  0.71  3.93%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Core Scientific Common on the next trading day is expected to be 16.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.71 and the sum of the absolute errors of 104.46. Core Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength indicator of Core Scientific's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Core Scientific's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Core Scientific Common, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Core Scientific's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.612
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.09
EPS Estimate Current Year
(3.55)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.25)
Wall Street Target Price
26.5313
Using Core Scientific hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Core Scientific Common from the perspective of Core Scientific response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Core Scientific using Core Scientific's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Core using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Core Scientific's stock price.

Core Scientific Short Interest

An investor who is long Core Scientific may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Core Scientific and may potentially protect profits, hedge Core Scientific with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
14.4444
Short Percent
0.2029
Short Ratio
6.1
Shares Short Prior Month
61 M
50 Day MA
16.3466

Core Scientific Common Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Core Scientific's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Core. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Core can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Core Scientific Common. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.

Core Scientific Implied Volatility

    
  0.91  
Core Scientific's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Core Scientific Common stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Core Scientific's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Core Scientific stock will not fluctuate a lot when Core Scientific's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Core Scientific Common on the next trading day is expected to be 16.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.71 and the sum of the absolute errors of 104.46.

Core Scientific after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 18.79  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Core Scientific to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Core contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Core Scientific Common will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0569% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Core Scientific trading at USD 18.79, that is roughly USD 0.0107 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Core Scientific's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Core Scientific Common options at the current volatility level of 0.91%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Core Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Core Scientific's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Core Scientific's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Core Scientific stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Core Scientific's open interest, investors have to compare it to Core Scientific's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Core Scientific is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Core. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Core Scientific Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Core price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Core using various technical indicators. When you analyze Core charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Core Scientific price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Core Scientific Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Core Scientific Common on the next trading day is expected to be 16.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.71, mean absolute percentage error of 4.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 104.46.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Core Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Core Scientific's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Core Scientific Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Core ScientificCore Scientific Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Core Scientific Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Core Scientific's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Core Scientific's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.96 and 20.10, respectively. We have considered Core Scientific's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
18.79
16.03
Expected Value
20.10
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Core Scientific stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Core Scientific stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.5092
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.7124
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0997
SAESum of the absolute errors104.4552
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Core Scientific Common historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Core Scientific

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Core Scientific Common. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.6818.7922.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.4415.5519.66
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
13.8916.6519.41
Details
16 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
24.1426.5329.45
Details

Core Scientific After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Core Scientific at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Core Scientific or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Core Scientific, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Core Scientific Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Core Scientific's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Core Scientific's historical news coverage. Core Scientific's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.68 and 22.90, respectively. We have considered Core Scientific's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
18.79
18.79
After-hype Price
22.90
Upside
Core Scientific is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Core Scientific Common is based on 3 months time horizon.

Core Scientific Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Core Scientific is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Core Scientific backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Core Scientific, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.01 
4.07
 0.00  
  0.01 
10 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
18.79
18.79
0.00 
1,938  
Notes

Core Scientific Hype Timeline

Core Scientific Common is currently traded for 18.79. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Core is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Core Scientific is about 557.53%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.78. About 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded a loss per share of 2.16. Core Scientific Common had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Core Scientific to cross-verify your projections.

Core Scientific Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Core Scientific's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Core Scientific's future price movements. Getting to know how Core Scientific's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Core Scientific may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BLSHBullish 0.54 8 per month 0.00 (0.18) 5.75 (7.72) 15.46 
SSentinelOne(0.45)9 per month 0.00 (0.11) 3.42 (3.75) 19.38 
SOUNSoundHound AI 0.16 28 per month 0.00 (0.24) 6.32 (7.38) 16.04 
INFAInformatica 0.01 2 per month 0.12 (0.54) 0.16 (0.16) 1.08 
FOURShift4 Payments(0.48)10 per month 0.00 (0.11) 4.21 (3.68) 11.05 
CFLTConfluent(0.71)11 per month 1.08  0.11  3.91 (3.28) 29.51 
DBXDropbox(0.71)10 per month 0.00 (0.12) 2.53 (2.46) 15.22 
WIXWixCom(1.73)8 per month 0.00 (0.18) 5.16 (4.31) 27.47 
KVYOKlaviyo(3.20)12 per month 3.19  0.02  5.07 (5.10) 17.39 

Other Forecasting Options for Core Scientific

For every potential investor in Core, whether a beginner or expert, Core Scientific's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Core Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Core. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Core Scientific's price trends.

Core Scientific Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Core Scientific stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Core Scientific could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Core Scientific by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Core Scientific Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Core Scientific stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Core Scientific shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Core Scientific stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Core Scientific Common entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Core Scientific Risk Indicators

The analysis of Core Scientific's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Core Scientific's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting core stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Core Scientific

The number of cover stories for Core Scientific depends on current market conditions and Core Scientific's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Core Scientific is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Core Scientific's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Core Scientific Short Properties

Core Scientific's future price predictability will typically decrease when Core Scientific's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Core Scientific Common often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Core Scientific's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Core Scientific's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding255.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments836.2 M

Additional Tools for Core Stock Analysis

When running Core Scientific's price analysis, check to measure Core Scientific's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Core Scientific is operating at the current time. Most of Core Scientific's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Core Scientific's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Core Scientific's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Core Scientific to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.