CoastalSouth Bancshares, OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| COSO Stock | USD 23.97 0.03 0.13% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of CoastalSouth Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 24.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.42. CoastalSouth OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of rsi of CoastalSouth Bancshares,'s share price is below 20 suggesting that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of CoastalSouth Bancshares, based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using CoastalSouth Bancshares, hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CoastalSouth Bancshares from the perspective of CoastalSouth Bancshares, response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of CoastalSouth Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 24.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.42. CoastalSouth Bancshares, after-hype prediction price | USD 23.94 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
CoastalSouth |
CoastalSouth Bancshares, Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CoastalSouth price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CoastalSouth using various technical indicators. When you analyze CoastalSouth charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CoastalSouth Bancshares, Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of CoastalSouth Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 24.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52, mean absolute percentage error of 0.46, and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.42.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CoastalSouth OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CoastalSouth Bancshares,'s next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CoastalSouth Bancshares, OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CoastalSouth Bancshares, | CoastalSouth Bancshares, Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
CoastalSouth Bancshares, Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CoastalSouth Bancshares,'s OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CoastalSouth Bancshares,'s downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 23.25 and 25.63, respectively. We have considered CoastalSouth Bancshares,'s daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CoastalSouth Bancshares, otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CoastalSouth Bancshares, otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.1641 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5229 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0226 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 32.4168 |
Predictive Modules for CoastalSouth Bancshares,
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CoastalSouth Bancshares,. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CoastalSouth Bancshares,'s price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CoastalSouth Bancshares, After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CoastalSouth Bancshares, at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CoastalSouth Bancshares, or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of CoastalSouth Bancshares,, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CoastalSouth Bancshares, Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CoastalSouth Bancshares,'s otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CoastalSouth Bancshares,'s historical news coverage. CoastalSouth Bancshares,'s after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.75 and 25.13, respectively. We have considered CoastalSouth Bancshares,'s daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CoastalSouth Bancshares, is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CoastalSouth Bancshares, is based on 3 months time horizon.
CoastalSouth Bancshares, OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as CoastalSouth Bancshares, is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CoastalSouth Bancshares, backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CoastalSouth Bancshares,, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.19 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 18 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 18 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
23.97 | 23.94 | 0.13 |
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CoastalSouth Bancshares, Hype Timeline
CoastalSouth Bancshares, is currently traded for 23.97. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. CoastalSouth is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 23.94. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.13%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on CoastalSouth Bancshares, is about 1565.79%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.98. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.33. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. CoastalSouth Bancshares, last dividend was issued on the 23rd of October 2017. The entity had 1:10 split on the 23rd of October 2017. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 18 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CoastalSouth Bancshares, to cross-verify your projections.CoastalSouth Bancshares, Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CoastalSouth Bancshares,'s direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CoastalSouth Bancshares,'s future price movements. Getting to know how CoastalSouth Bancshares,'s peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CoastalSouth Bancshares, may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TSBK | Timberland Bancorp | (0.05) | 13 per month | 0.96 | 0.12 | 2.78 | (1.62) | 8.74 | |
| CZFS | Citizens Financial Services | 0.18 | 13 per month | 1.66 | 0.11 | 4.15 | (2.85) | 10.15 | |
| PKBK | Parke Bancorp | 0.05 | 13 per month | 0.46 | 0.23 | 3.36 | (1.33) | 6.17 | |
| FDBC | Fidelity DD Bancorp | (0.06) | 8 per month | 1.52 | 0.01 | 3.52 | (2.67) | 9.91 | |
| CBAN | Colony Bankcorp | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.85 | 0.15 | 2.41 | (1.56) | 5.33 | |
| LNKB | LINKBANCORP | 0.10 | 9 per month | 1.21 | 0.18 | 3.66 | (2.16) | 8.31 | |
| NECB | Northeast Community Bancorp | (0.05) | 10 per month | 1.28 | 0.12 | 3.69 | (2.26) | 7.66 | |
| FNLC | First Bancorp | 0.17 | 8 per month | 1.06 | 0.06 | 3.44 | (1.99) | 7.07 | |
| MBCN | Middlefield Banc | 0.43 | 8 per month | 1.46 | 0.11 | 3.95 | (2.93) | 21.64 | |
| ISBA | Isabella Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.29 | 0.15 | 7.12 | (4.19) | 20.02 |
Other Forecasting Options for CoastalSouth Bancshares,
For every potential investor in CoastalSouth, whether a beginner or expert, CoastalSouth Bancshares,'s price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CoastalSouth OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CoastalSouth. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CoastalSouth Bancshares,'s price trends.CoastalSouth Bancshares, Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CoastalSouth Bancshares, otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CoastalSouth Bancshares, could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CoastalSouth Bancshares, by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CoastalSouth Bancshares, Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CoastalSouth Bancshares, otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CoastalSouth Bancshares, shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CoastalSouth Bancshares, otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CoastalSouth Bancshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1667.52 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.05) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 23.95 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 23.96 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.005 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.03) |
CoastalSouth Bancshares, Risk Indicators
The analysis of CoastalSouth Bancshares,'s basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CoastalSouth Bancshares,'s investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting coastalsouth otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7516 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8492 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.14 | |||
| Variance | 1.3 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.21 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7212 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.87) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CoastalSouth Bancshares,
The number of cover stories for CoastalSouth Bancshares, depends on current market conditions and CoastalSouth Bancshares,'s risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CoastalSouth Bancshares, is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CoastalSouth Bancshares,'s long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in CoastalSouth OTC Stock
CoastalSouth Bancshares, financial ratios help investors to determine whether CoastalSouth OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CoastalSouth with respect to the benefits of owning CoastalSouth Bancshares, security.