Mf Bancorp Stock Price Prediction
| MFBP Stock | USD 19.99 0.74 3.84% |
Momentum 68
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using MF Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MF Bancorp from the perspective of MF Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in MF Bancorp to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying MFBP because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
MF Bancorp after-hype prediction price | USD 19.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
MFBP |
MF Bancorp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MF Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MF Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of MF Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MF Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MF Bancorp's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MF Bancorp's historical news coverage. MF Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.67 and 21.31, respectively. We have considered MF Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MF Bancorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MF Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
MF Bancorp Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MF Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MF Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MF Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.32 | 0.00 | 0.25 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
19.99 | 19.99 | 0.00 |
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MF Bancorp Hype Timeline
MF Bancorp is now traded for 19.99. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.25. MFBP is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on MF Bancorp is about 47.64%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.74. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.27. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. MF Bancorp recorded a loss per share of 0.9. The entity last dividend was issued on the 23rd of November 2022. The firm had 2:1 split on the 11th of January 2005. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out MF Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.MF Bancorp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MF Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MF Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how MF Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MF Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ANDC | Andover Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.98 | 0.01 | 2.16 | (2.32) | 8.04 | |
| CIZN | Citizens Holding | 0.11 | 3 per month | 0.96 | 0.17 | 2.53 | (1.76) | 9.52 | |
| ALBY | Community Capital Bancshares | (21.91) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 0.85 | (0.85) | 4.47 | |
| VTYB | The Victory Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.96 | (0.93) | 4.41 | |
| WDFN | Woodlands Financial Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.72 | 0.03 | 1.50 | (1.66) | 9.15 | |
| HCBN | HCB Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1.28 | (0.16) | 4.33 | |
| OAKV | Oak View National | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.86 | 0.01 | 1.97 | (1.13) | 6.83 | |
| EXCH | Exchange Bankshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.50 | |
| FMFP | First Community Financial | (5.91) | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.08 | 5.18 | (2.11) | 12.44 | |
| HFBA | HFB Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1.54 | 0.00 | 5.09 |
MF Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MFBP price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MFBP using various technical indicators. When you analyze MFBP charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About MF Bancorp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of MF Bancorp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as MF Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of MF Bancorp based on analysis of MF Bancorp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to MF Bancorp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to MF Bancorp's related companies.
Pair Trading with MF Bancorp
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if MF Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in MF Bancorp will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against MFBP Pink Sheet
| 0.52 | IBM | International Business Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.49 | CSCO | Cisco Systems | PairCorr |
| 0.46 | TRV | The Travelers Companies | PairCorr |
| 0.42 | LNDNF | Lundin Energy AB | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to MF Bancorp could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace MF Bancorp when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back MF Bancorp - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling MF Bancorp to buy it.
The correlation of MF Bancorp is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as MF Bancorp moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if MF Bancorp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for MF Bancorp can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for MFBP Pink Sheet Analysis
When running MF Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure MF Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MF Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of MF Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MF Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MF Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MF Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.