Costco Wholesale Stock Forward View - Price Action Indicator

COST Stock  USD 1,012  0.00  0.00%   
Costco Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Costco Wholesale's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Costco Wholesale's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Costco Wholesale Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Costco Wholesale's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.114
EPS Estimate Current Year
20.3503
EPS Estimate Next Year
22.3117
Wall Street Target Price
K
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
4.2779
Using Costco Wholesale hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Costco Wholesale Corp from the perspective of Costco Wholesale response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Costco Wholesale using Costco Wholesale's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Costco using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Costco Wholesale's stock price.

Costco Wholesale Short Interest

An investor who is long Costco Wholesale may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Costco Wholesale and may potentially protect profits, hedge Costco Wholesale with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
951.9207
Short Percent
0.0161
Short Ratio
2.68
Shares Short Prior Month
7.9 M
50 Day MA
923.2202

Costco Relative Strength Index

Costco Wholesale Corp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Costco Wholesale's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Costco. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Costco can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Costco Wholesale Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Costco Wholesale's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Costco Wholesale.

Costco Wholesale Implied Volatility

    
  0.33  
Costco Wholesale's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Costco Wholesale Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Costco Wholesale's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Costco Wholesale stock will not fluctuate a lot when Costco Wholesale's options are near their expiration.

Costco Wholesale after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1015.36  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Costco Wholesale to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Costco contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Costco Wholesale Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0206% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Costco Wholesale trading at USD 1011.76, that is roughly USD 0.21 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Costco Wholesale's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Costco Wholesale Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.33%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Costco Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Costco Wholesale's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Costco Wholesale's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Costco Wholesale stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Costco Wholesale's open interest, investors have to compare it to Costco Wholesale's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Costco Wholesale is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Costco. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Costco Wholesale Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Costco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Costco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Costco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Costco Wholesale Corp has current Price Action Indicator of (7.70). Price Action indicator evaluates an asset for a given trading period using the following formula: ((close - open) + (close - high) + (close - low)) / 2. This indicator is consistent with the interpretation of Japanese candlestick patterns.
Check Costco Wholesale VolatilityBacktest Costco WholesaleInformation Ratio  

Costco Wholesale Trading Date Momentum

On February 17 2026 Costco Wholesale Corp was traded for  1,012  at the closing time. The top price for the day was 1,028  and the lowest listed price was  1,010 . The trading volume for the day was 1.6 M. The trading history from February 17, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 0.00% .
Price Action Indicator (or PAIN) was developed by Michael B. Geraty and published in 'Futures' magazine in August 1997.
Compare Costco Wholesale to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Costco Wholesale

For every potential investor in Costco, whether a beginner or expert, Costco Wholesale's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Costco Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Costco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Costco Wholesale's price trends.

Costco Wholesale Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Costco Wholesale stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Costco Wholesale could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Costco Wholesale by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Costco Wholesale Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Costco Wholesale stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Costco Wholesale shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Costco Wholesale stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Costco Wholesale Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Costco Wholesale Risk Indicators

The analysis of Costco Wholesale's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Costco Wholesale's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting costco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Costco Wholesale

The number of cover stories for Costco Wholesale depends on current market conditions and Costco Wholesale's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Costco Wholesale is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Costco Wholesale's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Costco Wholesale Short Properties

Costco Wholesale's future price predictability will typically decrease when Costco Wholesale's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Costco Wholesale Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Costco Wholesale's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Costco Wholesale's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding444.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments15.3 B

Additional Tools for Costco Stock Analysis

When running Costco Wholesale's price analysis, check to measure Costco Wholesale's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Costco Wholesale is operating at the current time. Most of Costco Wholesale's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Costco Wholesale's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Costco Wholesale's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Costco Wholesale to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.