Costco Wholesale Corp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

COST Stock  USD 964.01  8.36  0.87%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Costco Wholesale Corp is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Costco Wholesale Corp given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Costco Wholesale. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Costco Wholesale Corp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Costco Wholesale Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Costco and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Costco Wholesale Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.

Execute Costco Wholesale Buy or Sell Advice

The Costco recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Costco Wholesale Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Costco Wholesale Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Costco Wholesale's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Costco WholesaleBuy Costco Wholesale
Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Costco Wholesale Corp has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1027, Jensen Alpha of 0.0716, Total Risk Alpha of (0.04), Sortino Ratio of 0.0198 and Treynor Ratio of 0.2451
Macroaxis provides advice on Costco Wholesale Corp to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Costco Wholesale Corp. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Costco Wholesale is not overpriced, please confirm all Costco Wholesale Corp fundamentals, including its gross profit, price to earnings to growth, net asset, as well as the relationship between the debt to equity and retained earnings . Given that Costco Wholesale Corp has a price to earning of 40.61 X, we suggest you to validate Costco Wholesale Corp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Costco Wholesale Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Costco Wholesale has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 71.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 15th of November 2024 Costco Wholesale paid $ 1.16 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Black Friday puts consumer spending in markets glare with stocks near records

Costco Wholesale Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Costco Wholesale's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Costco Wholesale's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Costco Wholesale daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Costco Wholesale Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Costco Wholesale returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Costco Wholesale.
Mean Return
0.15
Value At Risk
-1.7
Potential Upside
2.10
Standard Deviation
1.17
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Costco Wholesale historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Costco Stock Institutional Investors

The Costco Wholesale's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Costco Wholesale's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Alliancebernstein L.p.2024-06-30
4.3 M
Royal Bank Of Canada2024-06-30
M
Capital World Investors2024-09-30
M
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-06-30
3.7 M
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-06-30
3.7 M
Legal & General Group Plc2024-06-30
3.7 M
Jennison Associates Llc2024-09-30
3.4 M
Wells Fargo & Co2024-06-30
3.3 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
3.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
41.7 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
33.2 M
Note, although Costco Wholesale's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Costco Wholesale Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(791M)(1.9B)(4.0B)1.2B(2.1B)(2.0B)
Change In Cash3.9B(1.0B)(1.1B)3.5B(3.8B)(3.6B)
Free Cash Flow6.1B5.4B3.5B6.7B6.6B7.0B
Depreciation1.6B1.8B1.9B2.1B2.2B2.3B
Other Non Cash Items236M371M453M907M306M321.3M
Dividends Paid1.5B5.7B1.5B1.3B9.0B9.5B
Capital Expenditures2.8B3.6B3.9B4.3B4.7B4.9B
Net Income4.1B5.1B5.9B6.3B7.4B7.7B
End Period Cash Flow12.3B11.3B10.2B13.7B9.9B10.4B
Investments52M115M24M(5.0B)(4.4B)(4.2B)
Net Borrowings929M135M(800M)(384M)(345.6M)(328.3M)
Change To Netincome1.0B1.2B763M1.7B1.9B1.1B

Costco Wholesale Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Costco Wholesale or Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Costco Wholesale's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Costco stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.58
σ
Overall volatility
1.15
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Costco Wholesale Volatility Alert

Costco Wholesale Corp has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.33 and kurtosis of 0.0. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Costco Wholesale's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Costco Wholesale's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Costco Wholesale Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Costco Wholesale's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Costco Wholesale's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Costco Wholesale and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Costco Wholesale or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Costco Wholesale's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Costco Wholesale by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Costco Wholesale to competition
FundamentalsCostco WholesalePeer Average
Return On Equity0.3-0.31
Return On Asset0.0836-0.14
Profit Margin0.03 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.04 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation424.26 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding443.07 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.18 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions71.37 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted5.99 M4.71 M
Price To Earning40.61 X28.72 X
Price To Book18.08 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.68 X11.42 X
Revenue254.45 B9.43 B
Gross Profit30.09 B27.38 B
EBITDA12.15 B3.9 B
Net Income7.37 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents13.7 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share24.96 X5.01 X
Total Debt8.27 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.53 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.02 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share53.31 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations11.34 B971.22 M
Short Ratio3.81 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share16.58 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth5.85 X4.89 X
Target Price939.89
Number Of Employees333 K18.84 K
Beta0.79-0.15
Market Capitalization427.13 B19.03 B
Total Asset69.83 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings17.62 B9.33 B
Working Capital(1.22 B)1.48 B

Costco Wholesale Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Costco . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Costco Wholesale Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Costco Wholesale Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Costco Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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In addition to having Costco Wholesale in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Disruptive Technologies Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Costco Stock Analysis

When running Costco Wholesale's price analysis, check to measure Costco Wholesale's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Costco Wholesale is operating at the current time. Most of Costco Wholesale's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Costco Wholesale's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Costco Wholesale's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Costco Wholesale to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.