Canterbury Park Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

CPHC Stock  USD 15.30  0.10  0.65%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Canterbury Park Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 15.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.71. Canterbury Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Canterbury Park stock prices and determine the direction of Canterbury Park Holding's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Canterbury Park's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength indicator of Canterbury Park's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Canterbury Park's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Canterbury Park Holding, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Canterbury Park hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Canterbury Park Holding from the perspective of Canterbury Park response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Canterbury Park Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 15.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.71.

Canterbury Park after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 15.3  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Canterbury Park to cross-verify your projections.

Canterbury Park Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Canterbury price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Canterbury using various technical indicators. When you analyze Canterbury charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Canterbury Park is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Canterbury Park Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Canterbury Park Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 15.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.71.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Canterbury Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Canterbury Park's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Canterbury Park Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Canterbury ParkCanterbury Park Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Canterbury Park Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Canterbury Park's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Canterbury Park's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.34 and 17.36, respectively. We have considered Canterbury Park's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.30
15.35
Expected Value
17.36
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Canterbury Park stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Canterbury Park stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.7549
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.025
MADMean absolute deviation0.1814
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0117
SAESum of the absolute errors10.705
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Canterbury Park Holding price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Canterbury Park. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Canterbury Park

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Canterbury Park Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.2915.3017.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.7014.7116.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
14.7815.1215.47
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Canterbury Park. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Canterbury Park's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Canterbury Park's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Canterbury Park Holding.

Other Forecasting Options for Canterbury Park

For every potential investor in Canterbury, whether a beginner or expert, Canterbury Park's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Canterbury Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Canterbury. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Canterbury Park's price trends.

Canterbury Park Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Canterbury Park stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Canterbury Park could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Canterbury Park by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Canterbury Park Holding Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Canterbury Park's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Canterbury Park's current price.

Canterbury Park Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Canterbury Park stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Canterbury Park shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Canterbury Park stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Canterbury Park Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Canterbury Park Risk Indicators

The analysis of Canterbury Park's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Canterbury Park's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting canterbury stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Canterbury Park Holding offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Canterbury Park's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Canterbury Park Holding Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Canterbury Park Holding Stock:
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Canterbury Park. If investors know Canterbury will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Canterbury Park listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Canterbury Park Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Canterbury that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Canterbury Park's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Canterbury Park's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Canterbury Park's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Canterbury Park's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Canterbury Park's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Canterbury Park is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Canterbury Park's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.