Cal Redwood Stock Forward View
| CRAQ Stock | 10.16 0.04 0.39% |
Cal Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Cal Redwood's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Cal Redwood hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cal Redwood Acquisition from the perspective of Cal Redwood response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cal Redwood Acquisition on the next trading day is expected to be 10.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.82. Cal Redwood after-hype prediction price | USD 10.16 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cal Redwood to cross-verify your projections. Cal Redwood Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Cal Redwood Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cal Redwood Acquisition on the next trading day is expected to be 10.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.82.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cal Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cal Redwood's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cal Redwood Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Cal Redwood | Cal Redwood Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Cal Redwood Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Cal Redwood's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cal Redwood's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.01 and 10.31, respectively. We have considered Cal Redwood's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cal Redwood stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cal Redwood stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.9161 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0135 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0013 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.8232 |
Predictive Modules for Cal Redwood
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cal Redwood Acquisition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cal Redwood After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cal Redwood at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cal Redwood or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cal Redwood, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cal Redwood Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cal Redwood's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cal Redwood's historical news coverage. Cal Redwood's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.01 and 10.31, respectively. We have considered Cal Redwood's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cal Redwood is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cal Redwood Acquisition is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cal Redwood Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cal Redwood is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cal Redwood backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cal Redwood, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
10.16 | 10.16 | 0.00 |
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Cal Redwood Hype Timeline
Cal Redwood Acquisition is currently traded for 10.16. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Cal is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Cal Redwood is about 1714.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.16. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cal Redwood to cross-verify your projections.Cal Redwood Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cal Redwood's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cal Redwood's future price movements. Getting to know how Cal Redwood's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cal Redwood may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RDAG | Republic Digital Acquisition | 0.06 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.48) | 0.29 | (0.39) | 1.18 | |
| BACQ | Bleichroeder Acquisition Corp | 0.03 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 0.94 | (0.83) | 3.90 | |
| GIG | GigCapital7 Corp Class | 0.02 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.54) | 0.19 | (0.28) | 1.03 | |
| CEPT | Cantor Equity Partners | (0.04) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.41 | (2.94) | 13.46 | |
| ALF | Centurion Acquisition Corp | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.48) | 0.37 | (0.19) | 0.75 | |
| MBAV | M3 Brigade Acquisition V | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.36 | (0.15) | 0.47 | (0.37) | 3.98 | |
| CCIX | Churchill Capital Corp | (0.01) | 6 per month | 0.16 | (0.50) | 0.19 | (0.28) | 1.31 | |
| TACOU | Berto Acquisition Corp | 0.00 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.49) | 0.39 | (0.29) | 1.07 |
Other Forecasting Options for Cal Redwood
For every potential investor in Cal, whether a beginner or expert, Cal Redwood's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cal Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cal Redwood's price trends.Cal Redwood Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cal Redwood stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cal Redwood could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cal Redwood by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cal Redwood Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cal Redwood stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cal Redwood shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cal Redwood stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cal Redwood Acquisition entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 10.16 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 10.16 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.02) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.04) |
Cal Redwood Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cal Redwood's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cal Redwood's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cal stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.0881 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.1502 | |||
| Variance | 0.0226 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0361 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.0007) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.20) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Cal Redwood
The number of cover stories for Cal Redwood depends on current market conditions and Cal Redwood's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cal Redwood is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cal Redwood's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Cal Stock Analysis
When running Cal Redwood's price analysis, check to measure Cal Redwood's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cal Redwood is operating at the current time. Most of Cal Redwood's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cal Redwood's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cal Redwood's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cal Redwood to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.