Cal Redwood Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

CRAQ Stock   10.13  0.01  0.1%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Cal Redwood Acquisition on the next trading day is expected to be 10.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.61. Cal Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
A two period moving average forecast for Cal Redwood is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Cal Redwood Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Cal Redwood Acquisition on the next trading day is expected to be 10.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.61.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cal Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cal Redwood's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cal Redwood Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Cal RedwoodCal Redwood Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Cal Redwood Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cal Redwood's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cal Redwood's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.99 and 10.27, respectively. We have considered Cal Redwood's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.13
10.13
Expected Value
10.27
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cal Redwood stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cal Redwood stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria106.0723
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0033
MADMean absolute deviation0.0104
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.001
SAESum of the absolute errors0.615
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Cal Redwood Acquisition price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Cal Redwood. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Cal Redwood

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cal Redwood Acquisition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.9910.1310.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.358.4911.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
10.0210.0910.16
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cal Redwood. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cal Redwood's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cal Redwood's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Cal Redwood Acquisition.

Other Forecasting Options for Cal Redwood

For every potential investor in Cal, whether a beginner or expert, Cal Redwood's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cal Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cal Redwood's price trends.

Cal Redwood Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cal Redwood stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cal Redwood could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cal Redwood by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cal Redwood Acquisition Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cal Redwood's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cal Redwood's current price.

Cal Redwood Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cal Redwood stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cal Redwood shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cal Redwood stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cal Redwood Acquisition entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cal Redwood Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cal Redwood's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cal Redwood's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cal stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Cal Redwood

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Cal Redwood position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Cal Redwood will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Cal Stock

  0.87DMAA Drugs Made InPairCorr
  0.8VACH Voyager Acquisition CorpPairCorr
  0.86DRDB Roman DBDR AcquisitionPairCorr

Moving against Cal Stock

  0.7ETHM Dynamix Symbol ChangePairCorr
  0.55BRR Columbus Circle Capital Symbol ChangePairCorr
  0.31WLAC Willow Lane AcquisitionPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Cal Redwood could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Cal Redwood when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Cal Redwood - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Cal Redwood Acquisition to buy it.
The correlation of Cal Redwood is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Cal Redwood moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Cal Redwood Acquisition moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Cal Redwood can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Cal Stock Analysis

When running Cal Redwood's price analysis, check to measure Cal Redwood's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cal Redwood is operating at the current time. Most of Cal Redwood's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cal Redwood's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cal Redwood's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cal Redwood to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.