Chongqing Rural Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

Triple exponential smoothing for Chongqing Rural - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Chongqing Rural prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Chongqing Rural price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Chongqing Rural Comm.

Chongqing Rural Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 22nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Chongqing Rural Commercial on the next trading day is expected to be 25.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.80, mean absolute percentage error of 3.25, and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.18.

Chongqing Rural Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Chongqing Rural

Chongqing Rural Price Prediction

Buy or Sell Advice

Chongqing Rural Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Chongqing Rural pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Chongqing Rural pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Chongqing Rural observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Chongqing Rural Commercial observations.

Predictive Modules for Chongqing Rural

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chongqing Rural Comm. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 15.87 24.82 33.77 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 12.50 21.45 30.40 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 16.65 24.76 32.87 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Chongqing Rural. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Chongqing Rural's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Chongqing Rural's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Chongqing Rural Comm.

Other Forecasting Options for Chongqing Rural

For every potential investor in Chongqing, whether a beginner or expert, Chongqing Rural's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Chongqing Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Chongqing. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Chongqing Rural's price trends.

Chongqing Rural Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Chongqing Rural Comm Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Chongqing Rural's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Chongqing Rural's current price.

Chongqing Rural Market Strength Events

Chongqing Rural Risk Indicators

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Chongqing Pink Sheet Analysis