Capricorn Energy Pink Sheet Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

CRNCY Stock  USD 5.70  0.40  7.55%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Capricorn Energy PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 5.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.23. Capricorn Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Capricorn Energy PLC is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Capricorn Energy 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Capricorn Energy PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 5.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.23.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Capricorn Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Capricorn Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Capricorn Energy Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Capricorn Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Capricorn Energy's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Capricorn Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.21 and 7.99, respectively. We have considered Capricorn Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5.70
5.60
Expected Value
7.99
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Capricorn Energy pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Capricorn Energy pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria106.992
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0139
MADMean absolute deviation0.1093
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0196
SAESum of the absolute errors6.23
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Capricorn Energy. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Capricorn Energy PLC and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Capricorn Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capricorn Energy PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Capricorn Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.315.708.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.434.827.21
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Capricorn Energy

For every potential investor in Capricorn, whether a beginner or expert, Capricorn Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Capricorn Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Capricorn. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Capricorn Energy's price trends.

Capricorn Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Capricorn Energy pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Capricorn Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Capricorn Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Capricorn Energy PLC Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Capricorn Energy's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Capricorn Energy's current price.

Capricorn Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Capricorn Energy pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Capricorn Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Capricorn Energy pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Capricorn Energy PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Capricorn Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of Capricorn Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Capricorn Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting capricorn pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Capricorn Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Capricorn Energy's price analysis, check to measure Capricorn Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Capricorn Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Capricorn Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Capricorn Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Capricorn Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Capricorn Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.