CMS Energy Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| CSG Stock | EUR 63.50 2.00 3.05% |
CMS Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of CMS Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 20th of February 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of CMS Energy's share price is approaching 45 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling CMS Energy, making its price go up or down. Momentum 45
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.066 | Wall Street Target Price 67.57 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.123 |
Using CMS Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CMS Energy from the perspective of CMS Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CMS Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 64.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.25. CMS Energy after-hype prediction price | EUR 63.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
CMS |
CMS Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CMS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CMS using various technical indicators. When you analyze CMS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CMS Energy Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 21st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CMS Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 64.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61, mean absolute percentage error of 0.63, and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.25.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CMS Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CMS Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CMS Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CMS Energy | CMS Energy Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
CMS Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CMS Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CMS Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 62.77 and 65.27, respectively. We have considered CMS Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CMS Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CMS Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0628 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6144 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0101 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 36.2507 |
Predictive Modules for CMS Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CMS Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CMS Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CMS Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CMS Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CMS Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CMS Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CMS Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CMS Energy's historical news coverage. CMS Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 62.30 and 64.70, respectively. We have considered CMS Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CMS Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CMS Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
CMS Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CMS Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CMS Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CMS Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.25 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 6 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
63.50 | 63.50 | 0.00 |
|
CMS Energy Hype Timeline
CMS Energy is currently traded for 63.50on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. CMS is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on CMS Energy is about 196.23%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 63.51. About 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of CMS Energy was currently reported as 24.7. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.97. CMS Energy last dividend was issued on the 17th of February 2026. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CMS Energy to cross-verify your projections.CMS Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CMS Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CMS Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how CMS Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CMS Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SII | Wheaton Precious Metals | 3.30 | 8 per month | 2.31 | 0.16 | 4.01 | (3.88) | 15.45 | |
| DFA1 | Dairy Farm International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.63 | 0.10 | 3.66 | (2.87) | 11.48 | |
| H9W | HWA AG | 0.00 | 2 per month | 1.20 | 0.03 | 3.08 | (2.75) | 9.46 | |
| VIS | Viscofan | 0.10 | 3 per month | 0.34 | (0.02) | 0.96 | (1.11) | 4.82 | |
| 169 | Aeroporto Guglielmo Marconi | (0.20) | 3 per month | 1.40 | 0.16 | 4.98 | (2.27) | 13.56 | |
| WDC | WESTERN DIGITAL | 3.36 | 9 per month | 4.29 | 0.18 | 10.31 | (8.14) | 27.90 | |
| 52SA | SYSTEMAIR AB | 0.05 | 4 per month | 1.24 | 0.05 | 2.65 | (2.33) | 19.56 | |
| MLP | MLP SE | (0.02) | 3 per month | 0.96 | 0.11 | 1.77 | (1.87) | 4.32 | |
| EMD | ENM Holdings Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 7.78 | 0.10 | 21.74 | (17.54) | 67.78 | |
| K3E | Kendrion NV | (0.22) | 1 per month | 0.88 | 0.13 | 2.16 | (2.28) | 4.99 |
Other Forecasting Options for CMS Energy
For every potential investor in CMS, whether a beginner or expert, CMS Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CMS Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CMS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CMS Energy's price trends.CMS Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CMS Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CMS Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CMS Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CMS Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CMS Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CMS Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CMS Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CMS Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 63.5 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 63.5 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.00) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.00) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 45.29 |
CMS Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of CMS Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CMS Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cms stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9036 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Variance | 1.59 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CMS Energy
The number of cover stories for CMS Energy depends on current market conditions and CMS Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CMS Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CMS Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CMS Energy to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in CMS Stock please use our How to Invest in CMS Energy guide.You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.