CSG Systems Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| CSGS Stock | USD 79.65 0.14 0.18% |
CSG Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of CSG Systems' stock price is slightly above 64 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling CSG, making its price go up or down. Momentum 64
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.09 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.3333 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.75 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.1283 | Wall Street Target Price 80.7 |
Using CSG Systems hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CSG Systems International from the perspective of CSG Systems response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CSG Systems using CSG Systems' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CSG using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CSG Systems' stock price.
CSG Systems Short Interest
An investor who is long CSG Systems may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about CSG Systems and may potentially protect profits, hedge CSG Systems with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 68.0025 | Short Percent 0.1663 | Short Ratio 6.19 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.7 M | 50 Day MA 78.0196 |
CSG Relative Strength Index
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of CSG Systems International on the next trading day is expected to be 81.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.51 and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.98.CSG Systems International Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to CSG Systems' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in CSG. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CSG can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CSG Systems International. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of CSG Systems' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about CSG Systems.
CSG Systems Implied Volatility | 0.29 |
CSG Systems' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CSG Systems International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CSG Systems' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CSG Systems stock will not fluctuate a lot when CSG Systems' options are near their expiration.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of CSG Systems International on the next trading day is expected to be 81.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.51 and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.98. CSG Systems after-hype prediction price | USD 79.83 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CSG Systems to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current CSG contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that CSG Systems International will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0181% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With CSG Systems trading at USD 79.65, that is roughly USD 0.0144 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating CSG Systems' daily price movement you should consider acquiring CSG Systems International options at the current volatility level of 0.29%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 CSG Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast CSG Systems' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in CSG Systems' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for CSG Systems stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current CSG Systems' open interest, investors have to compare it to CSG Systems' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of CSG Systems is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in CSG. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
CSG Systems Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CSG price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CSG using various technical indicators. When you analyze CSG charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CSG Systems Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of CSG Systems International on the next trading day is expected to be 81.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.51, mean absolute percentage error of 0.38, and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.98.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CSG Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CSG Systems' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CSG Systems Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CSG Systems | CSG Systems Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
CSG Systems Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CSG Systems' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CSG Systems' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 80.69 and 81.61, respectively. We have considered CSG Systems' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CSG Systems stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CSG Systems stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.1457 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5078 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0065 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 30.9774 |
Predictive Modules for CSG Systems
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CSG Systems International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CSG Systems After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CSG Systems at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CSG Systems or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CSG Systems, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CSG Systems Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CSG Systems' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CSG Systems' historical news coverage. CSG Systems' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 79.37 and 80.29, respectively. We have considered CSG Systems' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CSG Systems is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CSG Systems International is based on 3 months time horizon.
CSG Systems Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CSG Systems is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CSG Systems backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CSG Systems, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 0.46 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
79.65 | 79.83 | 0.00 |
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CSG Systems Hype Timeline
CSG Systems International is currently traded for 79.65. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.03. CSG is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on CSG Systems is about 53.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 79.68. About 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.57. CSG Systems International last dividend was issued on the 22nd of December 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 8th of March 1999. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CSG Systems to cross-verify your projections.CSG Systems Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CSG Systems' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CSG Systems' future price movements. Getting to know how CSG Systems' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CSG Systems may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PAYO | Payoneer Global | 0.09 | 8 per month | 2.00 | 0.01 | 3.70 | (3.66) | 9.73 | |
| NTCT | NetScout Systems | (0.36) | 9 per month | 1.68 | 0.02 | 2.52 | (2.83) | 11.36 | |
| TDC | Teradata Corp | (0.61) | 11 per month | 1.49 | 0.12 | 3.55 | (3.66) | 36.67 | |
| ODD | ODDITY Tech Ltd | (3.54) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 4.24 | (5.12) | 18.82 | |
| APPN | Appian Corp | (0.43) | 12 per month | 2.72 | (0) | 5.03 | (4.62) | 37.82 | |
| EVCM | EverCommerce | 0.16 | 9 per month | 4.53 | 0.01 | 4.95 | (5.45) | 22.27 | |
| PGY | Pagaya Technologies | (0.72) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 6.60 | (6.84) | 22.52 | |
| MQ | Marqeta | 0.16 | 14 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.24 | (3.28) | 14.05 | |
| EVTC | Evertec | (0.33) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.94 | (3.16) | 9.49 | |
| FORTY | Formula Systems 1985 | 14.12 | 5 per month | 3.87 | 0.15 | 7.00 | (7.01) | 23.60 |
Other Forecasting Options for CSG Systems
For every potential investor in CSG, whether a beginner or expert, CSG Systems' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CSG Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CSG. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CSG Systems' price trends.CSG Systems Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CSG Systems stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CSG Systems could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CSG Systems by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CSG Systems Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CSG Systems stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CSG Systems shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CSG Systems stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CSG Systems International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
CSG Systems Risk Indicators
The analysis of CSG Systems' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CSG Systems' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting csg stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6026 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.84 | |||
| Variance | 3.38 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.1169 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.23) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.76) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CSG Systems
The number of cover stories for CSG Systems depends on current market conditions and CSG Systems' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CSG Systems is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CSG Systems' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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CSG Systems Short Properties
CSG Systems' future price predictability will typically decrease when CSG Systems' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CSG Systems International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CSG Systems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CSG Systems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 28.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 161.8 M |
Additional Tools for CSG Stock Analysis
When running CSG Systems' price analysis, check to measure CSG Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CSG Systems is operating at the current time. Most of CSG Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CSG Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CSG Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CSG Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.