Cashmere Valley OTC Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| CSHX Stock | USD 73.50 0.71 0.98% |
Cashmere OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The value of RSI of Cashmere Valley's share price is at 56 suggesting that the otc stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Cashmere Valley, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate signals. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Cashmere Valley based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Cashmere Valley hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cashmere Valley Bank from the perspective of Cashmere Valley response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Cashmere Valley Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 71.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 67.19. Cashmere Valley after-hype prediction price | USD 73.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Cashmere |
Cashmere Valley Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cashmere price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cashmere using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cashmere charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Cashmere Valley Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Cashmere Valley Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 71.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.10, mean absolute percentage error of 1.83, and the sum of the absolute errors of 67.19.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cashmere OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cashmere Valley's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cashmere Valley OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Cashmere Valley | Cashmere Valley Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Cashmere Valley Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Cashmere Valley's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cashmere Valley's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 69.59 and 72.64, respectively. We have considered Cashmere Valley's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cashmere Valley otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cashmere Valley otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.7172 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.1015 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0156 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 67.1907 |
Predictive Modules for Cashmere Valley
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cashmere Valley Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cashmere Valley After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cashmere Valley at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cashmere Valley or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Cashmere Valley, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cashmere Valley Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cashmere Valley's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cashmere Valley's historical news coverage. Cashmere Valley's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 71.99 and 75.01, respectively. We have considered Cashmere Valley's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cashmere Valley is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cashmere Valley Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cashmere Valley OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Cashmere Valley is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cashmere Valley backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cashmere Valley, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 1.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
73.50 | 73.50 | 0.00 |
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Cashmere Valley Hype Timeline
Cashmere Valley Bank is currently traded for 73.50. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Cashmere is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.17%. %. The volatility of related hype on Cashmere Valley is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 73.50. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.25. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Cashmere Valley Bank recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.94. The entity last dividend was issued on the 2nd of February 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cashmere Valley to cross-verify your projections.Cashmere Valley Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cashmere Valley's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cashmere Valley's future price movements. Getting to know how Cashmere Valley's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cashmere Valley may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FFBB | FFB Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.49 | 0.04 | 1.22 | (1.12) | 3.86 | |
| MSBC | Mission Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.06 | (1.05) | 3.65 | |
| RVRF | River Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.45 | |
| NASB | NASB Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.67 | 0.09 | 1.36 | (1.54) | 6.41 | |
| BFCC | BankFirst Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 1.29 | (0.77) | 2.60 | |
| MBLU | Morris State Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.38 | 0.09 | 3.47 | (1.20) | 14.61 | |
| CYFL | Century Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.06 | 0.01 | 1.60 | (2.44) | 8.01 | |
| MFGI | Merchants Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.33 | 0.22 | 1.57 | (1.37) | 4.97 | |
| TRUX | Truxton | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.19 | 0.04 | 2.49 | (2.45) | 7.71 | |
| TSCFY | TISCO Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Cashmere Valley
For every potential investor in Cashmere, whether a beginner or expert, Cashmere Valley's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cashmere OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cashmere. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cashmere Valley's price trends.Cashmere Valley Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cashmere Valley otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cashmere Valley could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cashmere Valley by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cashmere Valley Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cashmere Valley otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cashmere Valley shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cashmere Valley otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cashmere Valley Bank entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Cashmere Valley Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cashmere Valley's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cashmere Valley's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cashmere otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8231 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7328 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Variance | 2.27 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.07 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.537 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.08) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Cashmere Valley
The number of cover stories for Cashmere Valley depends on current market conditions and Cashmere Valley's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cashmere Valley is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cashmere Valley's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Cashmere OTC Stock Analysis
When running Cashmere Valley's price analysis, check to measure Cashmere Valley's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cashmere Valley is operating at the current time. Most of Cashmere Valley's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cashmere Valley's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cashmere Valley's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cashmere Valley to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.