Caesarstone Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| CSTE Stock | USD 2.18 0.07 3.11% |
Caesarstone Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Caesarstone stock prices and determine the direction of Caesarstone's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Caesarstone's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Caesarstone's share price is at 58 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Caesarstone, making its price go up or down. Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 5.869 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.28) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.40) | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.00) | Wall Street Target Price 4 |
Using Caesarstone hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Caesarstone from the perspective of Caesarstone response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Caesarstone using Caesarstone's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Caesarstone using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Caesarstone's stock price.
Caesarstone Implied Volatility | 2.05 |
Caesarstone's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Caesarstone stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Caesarstone's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Caesarstone stock will not fluctuate a lot when Caesarstone's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Caesarstone on the next trading day is expected to be 2.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.05. Caesarstone after-hype prediction price | USD 2.19 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Caesarstone Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Caesarstone's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Caesarstone's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Caesarstone stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Caesarstone's open interest, investors have to compare it to Caesarstone's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Caesarstone is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Caesarstone. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Caesarstone Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Caesarstone price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Caesarstone using various technical indicators. When you analyze Caesarstone charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Caesarstone Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Caesarstone on the next trading day is expected to be 2.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.05.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Caesarstone Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Caesarstone's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Caesarstone Stock Forecast Pattern
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Caesarstone Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Caesarstone's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Caesarstone's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 9.40, respectively. We have considered Caesarstone's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Caesarstone stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Caesarstone stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.6439 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.132 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0923 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.0504 |
Predictive Modules for Caesarstone
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Caesarstone. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Caesarstone's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Caesarstone After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Caesarstone at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Caesarstone or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Caesarstone, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Caesarstone Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Caesarstone's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Caesarstone's historical news coverage. Caesarstone's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.11 and 9.19, respectively. We have considered Caesarstone's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Caesarstone is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Caesarstone is based on 3 months time horizon.
Caesarstone Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Caesarstone is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Caesarstone backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Caesarstone, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.26 | 7.00 | 0.01 | 0.16 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.18 | 2.19 | 0.46 |
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Caesarstone Hype Timeline
Caesarstone is currently traded for 2.18. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.16. Caesarstone is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.19 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.46%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.26%. The volatility of related hype on Caesarstone is about 5426.36%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.34. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 443.22 M. Net Loss for the year was (42.98 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 77.65 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Caesarstone to cross-verify your projections.Caesarstone Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Caesarstone's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Caesarstone's future price movements. Getting to know how Caesarstone's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Caesarstone may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KSCP | Knightscope | 1.15 | 26 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 9.43 | (8.44) | 30.69 | |
| GPUS | Hyperscale Data | (0.09) | 26 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 16.00 | (11.76) | 62.50 | |
| APWC | Asia Pacific Wire | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.08 | (4.23) | 14.43 | |
| EDRY | EuroDry | (0.04) | 26 per month | 1.84 | 0.09 | 4.05 | (3.02) | 11.04 | |
| SDST | Stardust Power | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.52 | 0.03 | 8.84 | (9.33) | 26.43 | |
| NEOV | NeoVolta Common Stock | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.29 | 0.03 | 11.55 | (9.51) | 50.89 | |
| APT | Alpha Pro Tech | 0.04 | 10 per month | 1.90 | 0.05 | 3.46 | (2.61) | 8.80 | |
| UFG | Uni Fuels Holdings Limited | (0.01) | 9 per month | 6.26 | 0.05 | 10.11 | (10.29) | 96.60 | |
| BGSF | BG Staffing | 1.15 | 15 per month | 1.74 | 0.26 | 6.80 | (4.03) | 13.16 | |
| FLYY | Spirit Aviation Holdings | (0.91) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 14.29 | (23.40) | 90.07 |
Other Forecasting Options for Caesarstone
For every potential investor in Caesarstone, whether a beginner or expert, Caesarstone's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Caesarstone Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Caesarstone. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Caesarstone's price trends.Caesarstone Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Caesarstone stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Caesarstone could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Caesarstone by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Caesarstone Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Caesarstone stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Caesarstone shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Caesarstone stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Caesarstone entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Caesarstone Risk Indicators
The analysis of Caesarstone's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Caesarstone's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting caesarstone stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.99 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.34 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.84 | |||
| Variance | 46.79 | |||
| Downside Variance | 26.36 | |||
| Semi Variance | 18.87 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.38) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Caesarstone
The number of cover stories for Caesarstone depends on current market conditions and Caesarstone's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Caesarstone is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Caesarstone's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Caesarstone Short Properties
Caesarstone's future price predictability will typically decrease when Caesarstone's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Caesarstone often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Caesarstone's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Caesarstone's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 34.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 106.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Caesarstone to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Caesarstone Stock refer to our How to Trade Caesarstone Stock guide.You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Will Building Products sector continue expanding? Could Caesarstone diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Caesarstone. Projected growth potential of Caesarstone fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Caesarstone data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 5.869 | Earnings Share (2.02) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Caesarstone is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Caesarstone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Caesarstone's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Caesarstone's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Caesarstone's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Caesarstone's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Caesarstone's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Caesarstone should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Caesarstone's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.