Qwest Corp Stock Forward View
| CTDD Stock | USD 20.52 0.20 0.97% |
Qwest Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Qwest Corp stock prices and determine the direction of Qwest Corp 6's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Qwest Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Qwest Corp's stock price is about 60 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Qwest, making its price go up or down. Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Qwest Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Qwest Corp 6 from the perspective of Qwest Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Qwest Corp 6 on the next trading day is expected to be 20.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.15. Qwest Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 20.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Qwest Corp to cross-verify your projections. Qwest Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Qwest price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Qwest using various technical indicators. When you analyze Qwest charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Qwest Corp Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Qwest Corp's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2003-12-31 | Previous Quarter 25 M | Current Value 36 M | Quarterly Volatility 255.5 M |
Qwest Corp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 20th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Qwest Corp 6 on the next trading day is expected to be 20.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.15.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Qwest Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Qwest Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Qwest Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Qwest Corp | Qwest Corp Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Qwest Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Qwest Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Qwest Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.54 and 22.12, respectively. We have considered Qwest Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Qwest Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Qwest Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.057 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.15 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0078 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.1489 |
Predictive Modules for Qwest Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Qwest Corp 6. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Qwest Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Qwest Corp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Qwest Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Qwest Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Qwest Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Qwest Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Qwest Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Qwest Corp's historical news coverage. Qwest Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.18 and 21.78, respectively. We have considered Qwest Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Qwest Corp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Qwest Corp 6 is based on 3 months time horizon.
Qwest Corp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Qwest Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Qwest Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Qwest Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 1.29 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 1 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
20.52 | 20.48 | 0.19 |
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Qwest Corp Hype Timeline
Qwest Corp 6 is currently traded for 20.52. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Qwest is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 20.48. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.19%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Qwest Corp is about 1032.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.54. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Qwest Corp to cross-verify your projections.Qwest Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Qwest Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Qwest Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Qwest Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Qwest Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LBRDA | Liberty Broadband Srs | 0.33 | 8 per month | 2.10 | 0.06 | 4.56 | (3.87) | 10.40 | |
| KT | KT Corporation | 0.52 | 5 per month | 0.00 | 0.33 | 2.35 | (1.25) | 4.71 | |
| SKM | SK Telecom Co | 0.05 | 11 per month | 1.06 | 0.26 | 3.99 | (1.47) | 16.18 | |
| FYBR | Frontier Communications Parent | 0.03 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 0.29 | (0.21) | 0.68 | |
| TIGO | Millicom International Cellular | (0.14) | 10 per month | 2.33 | 0.14 | 4.78 | (3.25) | 15.97 | |
| TIMB | TIM Participacoes SA | 0.08 | 7 per month | 2.02 | 0.07 | 3.43 | (3.24) | 11.29 | |
| AD | Array Digital Infrastructure | 0.16 | 10 per month | 1.63 | 0.21 | 3.45 | (3.10) | 10.82 | |
| NYT | New York Times | (0.03) | 5 per month | 1.32 | 0.14 | 2.68 | (1.52) | 9.79 |
Other Forecasting Options for Qwest Corp
For every potential investor in Qwest, whether a beginner or expert, Qwest Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Qwest Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Qwest. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Qwest Corp's price trends.Qwest Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Qwest Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Qwest Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Qwest Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Qwest Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Qwest Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Qwest Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Qwest Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Qwest Corp 6 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 191.72 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.05) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 20.62 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 20.58 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.20) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.20) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 60.77 |
Qwest Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Qwest Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Qwest Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting qwest stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8605 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.18 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.27 | |||
| Variance | 1.61 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.78 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.39 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.90) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Qwest Corp
The number of cover stories for Qwest Corp depends on current market conditions and Qwest Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Qwest Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Qwest Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Qwest Corp to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Will Diversified Telecommunication Services sector continue expanding? Could Qwest diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Qwest Corp. Projected growth potential of Qwest fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Qwest Corp data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Dividend Share 1000 K |
Understanding Qwest Corp 6 requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Qwest's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Qwest Corp's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Qwest Corp's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Qwest Corp's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Qwest Corp should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Qwest Corp's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.